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re: SEVERE WEATHER: Moderate Risk for parts of LA & MS; Enhanced/Slight risk for most of AL

Posted on 12/16/19 at 9:44 am to
Posted by Geaux23
Member since Sep 2012
5899 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 9:44 am to
quote:

I'm no meteorologist but that seems to imply one hell of a front coming through to flip the script like that in less than 24 hours...


we screwed
stay safe fellas
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 9:46 am to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48636 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 9:55 am to
Yep, that means a tornado watch by noon CST for that area.
Posted by Bigbee Hills
Member since Feb 2019
1531 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:00 am to
That red outlined area will expand east, correct? Or is that area static for this weather event?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48636 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:03 am to
quote:

That red outlined area will expand east, correct? Or is that area static for this weather event?


That’s just an area they outline for where they are discussing issuing a tornado watch. Since those are the places that will be impacted first, those are the first places that will need a tornado watch. That is NOT an outline of the total severe weather threat area, that is just the area they are considering right now to issue a tornado watch for. These are known as mesoscale discussions. They’ll likely have one later today further east when it comes time to discuss issuing a watch for those areas.
This post was edited on 12/16/19 at 10:07 am
Posted by Bigbee Hills
Member since Feb 2019
1531 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:06 am to
10-4 preciate it baw
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65789 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:08 am to
Expect a new tornado watch later today for points east of that box already drawn.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34605 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:08 am to
Crazy weather
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:24 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:29 am to


For Rapides parish, this storm has a nasty hook already.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65789 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:29 am to
There's another tornado warning in central LA.
Bout time to go ahead and put up the tornado watch box
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:30 am to
MODERATE RISK NOW
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:30 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:30 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:31 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:38 am to
About 25 miles out from Alexandria

This post was edited on 12/16/19 at 10:39 am
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65789 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:41 am to
Not looking good for the people in the path of that
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42829 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:41 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:42 am to
This post was edited on 12/16/19 at 10:44 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 12/16/19 at 10:44 am to
Been working outside some this morning, the swampass can confirm the muggy warm over Baton Rouge. Sun is just starting to come out too. The SPC zones look pretty good for today. Marine layer probably muddles convection south of I10. LIX discussion hints at getting some veer back veer on the wind profile (wind working to spin in opposite directions with height) which help limit most of SE LA.

Up toward the mod zone, some model soundings looked awfully concerning yesterday. Especially with the column not saturated all the way up, get those steeper lapse rates going.

Back to work for me, going to be keeping an eye on things though.
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