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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:11 pm to slackster
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:11 pm to slackster
quote:
How did Slidell fare for Katrina surge? Seriously don’t recall
My grandparents lost their whole first floor. They lived on Clara Drive, which is off Carr Drive near the lake.
0
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:11 pm to LSUWoodworker
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:12 pm to jmarto1
Had to rebuild Salmen HS because of water
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:13 pm to jmarto1
quote:
We got 4 feet on OST. Family by Salmen got 8ft
Damn.
So far surge in Slidell should be reasonable.
NHC Storm Surge inundation map
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:14 pm to jimbeam
There was water in Slidell all the way to Fremeaux . .
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:15 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
HWRF coming in on EAST side of the river this run. Small change but could have big difference in impact if it were to be the actual track.
HwRF and GFS both markedly East this run. Promising for New Orleans, but both outliers as far as recent trends. We’ll see if it continues throughout the day.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:15 pm to slackster
Just left NOLA heading west. Traffic was normal and not heavy at all.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:16 pm to deuce985
quote:
I think this models are going to ping pong between a westward track and more towards miss/la border until tomorrow. wouldn't be surprised to see easterly shifts again today.
We’ll see
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 12:18 pm
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:19 pm to NorthEndZone
Experts, what do you think is the reason why the HWRF is a bit farther north than the GFS is? They are pretty close, but the 25 miles or so could make a huge difference in impact with such a small windfield.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:19 pm to treyk89
Shifts East will come from a slower storm
over the next day. That’s what the GFS and HWRF both show in the 12z runs.
over the next day. That’s what the GFS and HWRF both show in the 12z runs.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:22 pm to slackster
I’m still call8ng landfall a5 Cat Island Pass,
Mouth of Houma Navigational Canal,
Terrebonne Parish.
They always seem to walk West to me.
Mouth of Houma Navigational Canal,
Terrebonne Parish.
They always seem to walk West to me.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:23 pm to NorthEndZone
It actually appears the shift East on the GFS Is simply from the fact Sally isn’t as far west at noon as the model expected in earlier runs. That works it’s way through the rest of the run accordingly.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:23 pm to EXPLAYER
quote:
There was water in Slidell all the way to Fremeaux . .
Actually up to Gauze...
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:26 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
what do you think is the reason why the HWRF is a bit farther north than the GFS is?
Both are likely struggling to resolve the tilted system. It has been a trend this season where models have not done well with the messier setups. Take Laura over Cuba as an example.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:28 pm to Bigfishchoupique
quote:
They always seem to walk West to me.
Laura says hey
Went a bit east of projection
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
Which of the GFS, Euro, HWRF do you think has the best handle on Sally right now?
The Euro is a bit west but its 12Z run is just about to come out. I guess we will see soon if it stays west or drifts a bit back east.
The Euro is a bit west but its 12Z run is just about to come out. I guess we will see soon if it stays west or drifts a bit back east.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:33 pm to OysterPoBoy
Every other day.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:35 pm to Spasweezy
What are the current rainfall projections for BR?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:35 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
I’m in St George. What day should I cut my grass?
I’m in STG too. You should cut it right this second. *Rain starting in our area early evening and won’t stop (off and on) until Thursday.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 12:36 pm
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