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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:06 pm to billjamin
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:06 pm to billjamin
quote:
The Destroya is seeing $$ right now looking at Sally.
If this storm hits, I hope this is her Nagin moment. There will be fed money and she’ll have plenty of chance to embezzle her way in the Edwards memorial wing at ClubFed.
Maybe she will finally pay the taxes she owes
0
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:08 pm to LSURussian
quote:
You're using old data
That’s not old data, it’s literally an update from the NHG from 15 minutes ago
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:08 pm to billjamin
18z Euro with a similar approach albeit further south and definitely weaker.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:10 pm to Glock17
quote:
That’s not old data, it’s literally an update from the NHG from 15 minutes ago
Comprehensive updates to include track occur only 4 times daily. 4am, 10am, 4pm, and 10pm.
Intermediate advisories between the above time only update intensity, heading, and current location.
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 7:11 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:11 pm to Glock17
quote:
That’s not old data, it’s literally an update from the NHG from 15 minutes ago
The HWRF isn't the projected path, that's correct the NHC's path is the official one.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:12 pm to Duke
quote:
The HWRF isn't the projected path, that's correct the NHC's path is the official one.
I know, I’ll go with the official NHC update over one HWRF model run
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 7:13 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:16 pm to Glock17
quote:
I’ll go with the official NHC update over one HWRF model run
Me too
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:17 pm to Cosmo
[Re: bingo card] You need to find a spot for millibar porn.
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 7:31 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:18 pm to Glock17
quote:
know, I’ll go with the official NHC update over one HWRF model run
We all will, but the point being made is that the NHC come is old by now. Won’t be updated until the 10p advisory.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:23 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
18z Euro with a similar approach albeit further south and definitely weaker.
Just watching the globals for track and how well they are lining up with the upper air obs to start with until they at least do a little something to strengthen it.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:33 pm to Duke
Nola in the clear?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:33 pm to rds dc
quote:
Sally is still very disorganized, which is good news. It looks like the 18z HWRF and HMON are picking up on the overall disorganization of the system and not strengthening it as quickly over the next 24hrs. Will that be enough of a delay to keep things in check through landfall?
Later, when rds returns from dinner and looks at the 18z HWRF...
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:35 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:35 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Nola in the clear?
WTF?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:40 pm to Mr. Hangover
since i got bashed for my statement... let me clarify
what i'm saying is if it follows that path to a T (which is probably unlikely due to the wide cone of uncertainty) and it goes inland around Gulfport, BR stays far west of the center, which as we know typically is the weaker side with less precip and size of wind field than the eastern side (especially if it is getting wind sheared)
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:41 pm to rds dc
quote:
Later, when rds returns from dinner and looks at the 18z HWRF...
It was looking pretty good
Then Monday afternoon it decided to snort some meth and just go for it.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:47 pm to rds dc
damn, HWRF puts a CAT3 right up the mouth of the river, that would frick the northshore with 10+ feet of surge
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:49 pm to rds dc
shotgun
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:50 pm to 3oliv3
saying Sally has a high ceiling. Levi that is
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