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re: Preliminary Ratings: Lacombe Tornado - EF1; NOLA/Arabi Tornado - EF3

Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:40 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:40 pm to
radar looks funky east of Bentonia... west of Way

tornado on the ground headed to Way
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:42 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:43 pm to
Looks pretty good to me, but whatever y'all think.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

The moderate and enhanced areas extend way too far into Louisiana.


They need some sort of conditional enh and mod. Parameters are there, so people be ready, but the % risk within 25 miles is lower than the high end threat would imply.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:43 pm to
This was a classic Mississippi event. Guess they needed those Baton Rouge clicks
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 7:55 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:44 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:45 pm to
Things really blew up once we hit that central Mississippi divergence
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:47 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

They need some sort of conditional enh and mod. Parameters are there, so people be ready, but the % risk within 25 miles is lower than the high end threat would imply.

We've gotten to a point to where if SPC trims back a MOD or ENH and a tornado drops outside of it they will get roasted. If they expand it, and a the outskirts get nothing, they get roasted.
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 12:49 pm
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17353 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Looks pretty good to me, but whatever y'all think.



He mean's south Louisiana. Everything north of Marksville is Arkansas.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:50 pm to
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4686 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

This was a classic Mississippi event. Guess they needed those New Orleans and Baton Rouge clicks.


I see where Reed Timmer is now in Mississippi. Looks like he agreed with you.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:52 pm to
That Jackson squall is nasty
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 7:53 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

He mean's south Louisiana. Everything north of Marksville is Arkansas.

I'm just going by the MOD and ENH. That's all.
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
19165 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:53 pm to
I’ve lived in BR for most of my life and I’ve never seen even a funnel cloud. (Although I did see one on I-10 in the river parishes once). I’m not saying tornadoes don’t happen here but BR is never going to get leveled like cities in Mississippi and Alabama.
Posted by auwaterfowler
Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
2866 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:53 pm to
We still looking good for low chance of tornadoes here in extreme NE AL?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I'm just going by the MOD and ENH. That's all.


Even what you posted shows it extends too far into southwest Louisiana

Enhanced risk to the southwest coast? The threat is farther east.
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 7:54 pm
Posted by Spankum
The Sip
Member since Jan 2007
62228 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:54 pm to
Sky is darkening and wind if]s blowing in Madison, MS
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
19165 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:56 pm to
Might want to find a safe spot in Madison baw
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 12:56 pm to
Just about to hit here in River Ranch.
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