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re: Official Harvey Observation Thread

Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:46 am to
Posted by TheChosenOne
Member since Dec 2005
18849 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Maybe it's just me, but that website has a vibe of "it's over, and it wasn't that bad for us."

People simply get too caught up in the winds and do not respect the rain that isn't going anywhere soon.


In fairness, this will be the third year in a row that Houston has been hit with catastrophic flooding. At this point in the storm, the unpredictable has somewhat, though not entirely, passed(winds, tornados). Based on the last two flooding events, they already have a good idea of what's coming, what areas will be flooded, and where you can/can't go when the water rises.
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 11:47 am
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46700 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:48 am to
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21695 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:53 am to
Per wiki

quote:

Because Katrina had just weakened from Category 4 and due to the shape of the coastline, sustained Category 4 winds likely existed on land while the eye was over water. At landfall, hurricane-force winds extended 120 miles (190 kilometres) from the center, the storm's pressure was 920 millibars (27 inches of mercury), and its forward speed was 15 mph (24 km/h).


LINK
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:58 am to
Posted by Fatty Magoo
USA
Member since Nov 2015
1029 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:01 pm to
Not sure if this has already been posted, but our old friend supernovasky is running a Reddit live thread on the Harvey.

LINK


Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71448 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:19 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/11/23 at 3:31 am
Posted by tylercsbn9
Cypress, TX
Member since Feb 2004
66666 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:23 pm to
West Houston has been pretty lucky so far outside Sugarland. That band to the east just missed us.

Still a long ways to go
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

New round of feeder bands coming up Galveston Bay...



Cleveland, TX is in trouble. 4 inches in the last 3 hours, 6 in the last 6 hours, plus the bands on the way...

Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
39940 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

West Houston has been pretty lucky so far outside Sugarland. That band to the east just missed us.




really everyone from Montrose to west Houston has gotten a huge break this morning.


pasadena to northwest houston has gotten hammered
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 12:27 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

n fairness, this will be the third year in a row that Houston has been hit with catastrophic flooding. At this point in the storm, the unpredictable has somewhat, though not entirely, passed(winds, tornados). Based on the last two flooding events, they already have a good idea of what's coming, what areas will be flooded, and where you can/can't go when the water rises.




Fair enough.

Latest 18hr rainfall totals from the HRRR - 25" totals near The Woodlands.

Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14746 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:34 pm to
We were in between bans almost all morning in south Katy. Hoping it stays that way
Posted by tylercsbn9
Cypress, TX
Member since Feb 2004
66666 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

pasadena to northwest houston has gotten hammered


I assume you mean NE

Been lucky in Cypress
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 12:44 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:49 pm to
quote:


Latest 18hr rainfall totals from the HRRR - 25" totals near The Woodlands.


What is really worrisome, this is just day 1 of a potentially week long event.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Been lucky in Cypress


Watch Cypress Creek. Supposed to top where it got in April 2016.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:52 pm to
The West Gulf RFC is going to have to update river forecasts all in the Houston area. They're too bullish on the west side of Houston and not nearly bullish enough on the east side.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32785 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 12:55 pm to
My gf is flying Southwest (Hobby) back from Vegas. Flight was for tomorrow night, but the airline is doing a really stand-up thing and allowing her to reschedule her flight whenever she wants.

I have no idea what to tell her though. My area (Rice Military) seems fine but I have no idea how bad it is elsewhere, and I know that Allen Pkwy is known to flood faster than other major roads and that is a key to getting home.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46700 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 1:01 pm to
the fishing center in POC

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

West Houston has been pretty lucky so far outside Sugarland. That band to the east just missed us. 

Still a long ways to go





Glad to hear it, but stay alert

The rain falling along your drainage basins matters as much as that on top of your location. With the persistent se flow pushing back at the outlets into the gulf, waterways will slow down in drainage ability.
Posted by tylercsbn9
Cypress, TX
Member since Feb 2004
66666 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Watch Cypress Creek. Supposed to top where it got in April 2016.



Well I am far enough away from Cypress Creek that I'm not too worried. My office on the other hand.............

I have little cypress creek a little bit from my house. We had a few homes get water during tax day. They back up to a field and I think there is some sort of pond back there that went over. I think as long as the rain is manageable we should be okay. The houses on the other side of the street are also set lower than my side which hurt them.

We also had morons that put their trash out since the next day was trash day so some drains got clogged Our trash day is Monday. If I see some moron put their crap out I'm walking it right by to the side of their house away from the street.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 1:08 pm to
quote:


The West Gulf RFC is going to have to update river forecasts all in the Houston area. They're too bullish on the west side of Houston and not nearly bullish enough on the east side.



The various weather centers typically take very conservative approaches. My guess they hold tight, esp. since Harvey isn't supposed to move much over the next 48 hrs and hard to forecast mesoscale processes will determine rainfall placement.
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