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re: New thread started for Beryl

Posted on 6/14/24 at 9:58 am to
Posted by Novastar
Member since Jan 2023
645 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 9:58 am to
Anyone know what the expected tidal range and storm surge will be for Grand Isle & Fourchon next week?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133401 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:01 am to
quote:

what the expected tidal range...will be for Grand Isle & Fourchon next week?


+1.3, -0.3 next Wednesday, 6/19
This post was edited on 6/14/24 at 10:03 am
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
53547 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:37 am to
I wonder if Grymes was asked to step down after downplaying the recent storms that rolled through
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
215968 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:39 am to
They would have to get rid of everybody then. They all said the same things…
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14684 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:43 am to
Peeej is right
They all failed
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
48436 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:46 am to
The model runs have backed off a tad bit from the 40” of rainfall in Houma. This morning’s run shows 4” for Houma, or what is better known as two TDsngumbo thrusts.
Posted by bluedragon
Birmingham
Member since May 2020
8850 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 10:49 am to
Gulf waters are typically a soup bowl starting in June to the middle of October .....MPR as always is full of shite .......
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133401 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 11:46 am to
quote:

I wonder if Grymes was asked to step down after downplaying the recent storms that rolled through
No, he was not.

I've known Jay personally for years and he told me several weeks ago he was going to retire from TV and go full time with the state's Dept of Homeland Security but he said not to disclose that to anyone because he was not ready to go public with it yet.

Shouldn't you be more concerned about missing out on Rougarou games rather than trying to conjure up a conspiracy about something you know nothing about?
This post was edited on 6/14/24 at 12:07 pm
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1580 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 5:51 am to
most global models continue to show a TS in the gulf next weekend. The 6/15 6z GFS has the system around Morgan City next Saturday as well as 5-12” of rain from Houston to Lafayette with the system currently at 50% to develop in the BOC and move into northern Mexico…Interesting week ahead in terms of flooding rainfall potential
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 10:33 am to
No name for 90L.

NHC has the BOC at 50% but track options are still all over the place. Some of the overnight model runs do bring something up towards the Houston area with a lot of rain.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41610 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 12:59 pm to
I believe Jay worked for LSU a good while and is vested in the state pension plan.

Getting back with the state and getting a nice state job for several years would likely provide him with a very nice pension.

He is making a good personal and business decision as best I can tell. He loves weather and he will profit by it. There’s nothing wrong with that.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175387 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

most global models continue to show a TS in the gulf next weekend. The 6/15 6z GFS has the system around Morgan City next Saturday

The 6/5 GFS had a tropical storm making landfall in Louisiana this weekend. This is what GFS does. This thread was started because of it.
This post was edited on 6/15/24 at 1:03 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175387 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

He is making a good personal and business decision as best I can tell. He loves weather and he will profit by it. There’s nothing wrong with that.

Crazy to think a guy in his late 60s would retire from a demanding TV job. Must be a conspiracy.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
4398 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 1:47 pm to
And the 12z gfs takes that system into Mexico/South Texas as a TD. Just typical GFS shenanigans
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43092 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 1:56 pm to
What is interesting is both 12Z Euro and GFS has something developing north of the Bahamas in about 2 days headed West, Gfs has it in Florida/ Georgia border while Euro takes it into the Gulf i mean nothing strong at all just interesting.
This post was edited on 6/15/24 at 1:58 pm
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
4398 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 2:01 pm to
Yeah I noticed that also. The 6z Euro picked up on it so that’s back to back Euro runs to have something. And like you said the GFS came on board something definitely to keep an eye on, because the 12z Euro has it along the central gulf coast within 5 days.
This post was edited on 6/15/24 at 2:02 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43092 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 6:34 pm to

They mentioned that area now

2. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week
a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. Some slow
development of this system is possible thereafter while the system
moves westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
4398 posts
Posted on 6/15/24 at 6:56 pm to
Curious to see what the 18z Euro shows. The 18z GFS has the system move in north Florida and goes up thru Georgia then Alabama strictly as a rain maker.

I forgot the 18z Euro only goes out to 90 hours doesn’t show too much
This post was edited on 6/15/24 at 7:11 pm
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
39764 posts
Posted on 6/16/24 at 7:08 am to
Yo, what’s this shite about

[img][/img[img]blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/64cd8dc6-5be6-4d03-b3e2-1d03f77e0d2d[/img]
This post was edited on 6/16/24 at 7:09 am
Posted by 225Tyga
Member since Oct 2013
19347 posts
Posted on 6/16/24 at 7:09 am to
quote:

[img][/img[img]blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/64cd8dc6-5be6-4d03-b3e2-1d03f77e0d2d[/img]


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