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Started By
Message
re: Morganza Spillway may or may not open for a 3rd time -- lack of clear info from ACoE
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:29 pm to fightin tigers
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:29 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Maybe they deviate since it won't be much above 60'.
Except that NOAA was saying the crest would be 62', with Morganza opening. Not to say USACE doesnt have better/updated numbers, but thats a significant drop from what was predicted last week on top of them leaving Morganza closed, assuming they think it stays below 60'.
1
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:30 pm to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:31 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Do those forecast take into consideration of opening spillways before they are open?
I know New Orleans does because of Bonnet Carre. For Morganza I have no idea, but I would guess so.
This post was edited on 6/6/19 at 9:32 pm
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:32 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
I know New Orleans does because of Bonnet Carre. For Morganza I have no idea, but I would guess so.
I know the Morgan City gauge doesn’t
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:37 pm to tgrbaitn08
I’m sitting in my neighbors boat waiting for the impending failure of the Morganza. Lemme know when it’s time to fire this sumbitch up
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:42 pm to NYNolaguy1
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:43 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
I’m sitting in my neighbors boat waiting for the impending failure of the Morganza. Lemme know when it’s time to fire this sumbitch up
You might be waiting there awhile...
I doubt Morganza fails if it doesnt open. What will be more interesting is how high the river gets in BR b/c of Morganza staying closed.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:50 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
What will be more interesting is how high the river gets in BR b/c of Morganza staying closed.
According to NOAA they are projecting barely above the March crest this year. Half a foot below 2011.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:08 pm to NYNolaguy1
I don't get it. Where is all this irrational fear for BR and NewO flooding. With the exception of a runaway barge those two areas and ORCS are the least likely places to have a failure.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:20 pm to GREENHEAD22
I went ahead and got on FB and let all my friends and family know that the Morganza's compromised and will fail soon and told them to tell all their friends and family. Need to let everyone know so we can all be prepared when it fails!
This post was edited on 6/6/19 at 10:25 pm
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:23 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Several of you make me hope you're up shite creek like someone on the Arkansas.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:25 pm to Sao
quote:
Several of you make me hope you're up shite creek like someone on the Arkansas.
I’m making fun of the person who had inside info that the Morganza was going to fail, literally changing the face of the earth, and that the federal government has known about it for 8 years and did nothing
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:30 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
The fricking low sill structure was starting to get undermined and fricking moved in 2011.
I love how nobody wants to talk about that.
I love how nobody wants to talk about that.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:31 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
those two areas and ORCS are the least likely places to have a failure.
This is asinine considering the ORCS was getting undermined during the 2011 flood event and the whole structure moved.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:48 pm to NYNolaguy1
Is there a significant difference between the height at red river landing and the height at morganza?
If RR landing already at 61, so we think morganza is still below 60?
Didn't they say they would open at 60?
If RR landing already at 61, so we think morganza is still below 60?
Didn't they say they would open at 60?
Posted on 6/6/19 at 10:49 pm to Ignignot
quote:
The fricking low sill structure was starting to get undermined and fricking moved in 2011.
I love how nobody wants to talk about that.
And yet, you missed the part where I clearly said Morganza
Posted on 6/6/19 at 11:02 pm to Hu_Flung_Pu
quote:
This is not simple. This requires extensive modeling research.
Simple physics would be non calculus stuff like average velocity.
Not really. Flow is flow.
Yes there are thousands of variables affecting it, but less than five matter.
Increasing Flow down stream will decrease pressure upstream.
That part IS simple physics.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 11:22 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
And yet, you missed the part where I clearly said Morganza
I don't think morganza will fail. But it needs to be operated more.
The low sill structure is constantly under stress, its the one that everyone should watch.
Posted on 6/6/19 at 11:58 pm to Ignignot
quote:
The fricking low sill structure was starting to get undermined and fricking moved in 2011. I love how nobody wants to talk about that.
Nobody gives a frick because that was 8 years ago. shite has been fixed. Studies done. Either way, Morganza isn’t gonna open because people have irrational fears that disaste is dooming
Posted on 6/7/19 at 12:02 am to X123F45
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