Started By
Message

re: More Central U.S. Severe Weather: 4/30/24 - 5/3/24

Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:07 pm to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25104 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:07 pm to
In other destructive news to keep up with they have just declared a 6 alarm fire in Brooklyn NY

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.


Twitter Link
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:27 pm to
This right here, and there is plenty of it, is wishcasting at its best.

Xwitter comment:
quote:

Meteorologically speaking, the EF scale alone is very limited. I’m surprised there isn’t a sister scale that rates strictly by the storm intensity. Something like an evolved version of the original F scale.


Even attempting to do what this person suggests would be terribly flawed. How do I know? Because I've watched storms on radar that I was convinced put down violent tornadoes only to see the resultant damage and be emphatically proven wrong. Radar can and will trick you. The reality is we aren't great with wind, and we aren't great with wind on radar and how it relates to what is actually going on on the ground. That's where we have a whole lot to learn. To rely on radar presentation alone (especially with questionable data or poor storm placement in relation to said radar) would be essentially useless and would create even more "drama".
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164331 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:35 pm to
This whole tornado strength debate is a great example of how a lot of weather people on the internet don’t actually know that much. In this case about radar.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42785 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:39 pm to
Yep, totally agree. Radar is amazing, but it doesn’t always tell the full story. By rating based on damage, the tornado is being rated by what actually occurred on the ground.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

This whole tornado strength debate is a great example of how a lot of weather people on the internet don’t actually know that much. In this case about radar.

Go to GR2 pull the Velocity data during the first portion of that tornado and look at it frame-by-frame. That is not clean data. Aliasing problems, folding, missing pixels, all sorts of frickery was going on. Maybe due to storm motion. Or maybe it had something to do with the fact that damage was reported in the same area the radar is located. This is the radar imagery that a lot of people are using to try to call this one of the strongest tornadoes in history. It is stupid.

I'm not directing this at you, just talking in general.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11506 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:09 pm to
Last night was a 'treat'. Was able to view the befuddlement firsthand and may never see this again
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:10 pm to
Brett Adair's (Live Storms Media) damage footage from the area of the weird tornado from last night:

Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11506 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:18 pm to
Appreciate, was wondering about the damage

Quite a blessing it spun in a relative 'no man's land'

Our most local, experienced meteorologist - over 20 in Wichita Falls - was literally at a loss trying to sort it out
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
8544 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:14 pm to
Here’s another time sped clip of last night. Its 2 hours of time condensed.

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:18 pm to
Here's the thing, even though no town was hit (thank goodness) there were plenty of damage indicators to be had for this tornado or tornadoes. Tree damage is a pretty well established damage indicator. Silos, I think are on the list. There were at least a couple of homes with discernable damage, houses are a DI. Ground scouring, if not on the DI list, is at least comparable across all sigtors or violent tornadoes.

Nothing was found on the ground to support anything close to a violent tornado. Yet, we have this nonsense in the replies to NWS Norman's Xweet about it:

quote:

The EF scale is based on damage, in this case the damage indicated EF1, even though the winds may have been much stronger, or because it didn’t get hit directly. Other than that this tornado tracked over mostly open field giving it a Lower rating.


quote:

Which is a completely asinine way of tracking and book keep tornados… especially when you have fully capable radars that can accurately tell you wind speed data


Okay, the EF scale is, for a fact, a damage scale. Damage on the ground is surveyed and compared to the DI list and other violent tornadoes. People want to include radar data in the final rating of a tornado. Fine, but what happens when what you "see" on radar has no ground truth whatsoever?

They want to be able to rate a tornado by what they think they see on radar. Radar is complicated and imperfect. This isn't even a good case for what they want because everything on the ground contradicts what they think they saw on radar, and it isn't because "nothing was hit".
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58341 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:49 pm to
They simply want every tornado to be a "monster" F4+ bc people are stupid and want to be a part of something "extreme" or "cool". Society is always wanting things to either be the "worst thing ever" or "best thing ever"

This is a strange comparison but it's the same reason every couple of years we get the future "best ever" in the NFL&NBA drafts. Hell we have even had it in the MLB draft (remember Stephen Strasburg?). People and the media (who do it bc people love it) love hyperbole and extremes therefore they are trying to will it into existence

It happens with every damn tornado of much significance these days and as I've made clear before it really pisses me off. These people are ignorant and act like total jackasses
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:56 pm to
There was another thread on this that got started. I hate I missed it earlier when it was getting some action.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58341 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:10 am to
Yea I actually just saw it

As you addressed in the thread and this one, the entire premise relies on radar data regarding wind being reliable.......and it's not reliable at least not completely
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
3561 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:20 am to
When radar indicates a lowish intensity or indeterminate or straight up missed don’t they still go by the actual damage on the ground and other indicators? I think it’s a fair system for now. And it’s not like this one can’t still be talked about and analyzed for what it may have been.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58341 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:36 am to
They grade all tornadoes based on actual damage done on the ground. They may (and basically always do) use radar data to help them know where to look, etc. but the grading is done strictly based on actual damage

It's a system that's imperfect but I havent seen anything better proposed
This post was edited on 5/2/24 at 12:37 am
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25104 posts
Posted on 5/3/24 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/3/24 at 5:16 pm to
It did the thing again.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25104 posts
Posted on 5/3/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

It did the thing again.



Yep

Nick

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54687 posts
Posted on 5/3/24 at 5:54 pm to
first pageprev pagePage 5 of 6Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram