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Medical Professionals: Alabama has approximately 800 ventilators available statewide

Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:36 am
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:36 am
To help treat Covid-19 patients. Is that likely to be enough for the predicted surge coming in the next couple of weeks?

Edited for clarification:

quote:

Alabama has 1,344 ventilators total. However, typically about 550 are in use at any given time. The 800 number was the additional ventilators presumably available to deal with the pandemic
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 9:45 am
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132679 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:36 am to
No. We need at least a billion
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:37 am to
That's too many for Alabama.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:38 am to
Maybe, depends on what else happens and who else needs vents.

If all 800 of those are dedicated to COVID19 only, an estimated 7000-9000 total cases at once would hit our max vent capacity.

We will probably be alright if we behave
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 9:39 am
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
40228 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:39 am to
How many infected people actually make it to a respiratory compromise?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481219 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:39 am to
quote:

If all 800 of those are dedicated to COVID19 only,

this is the worry, in't?
Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:40 am to
quote:

No. We need at least a billion
Nope. Current estimates show about two billion, as some patients (especially the super morbidly obese) require up to 3-5 ventilators at a time.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22610 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:40 am to
Depends on if we successfully flatten the curve and slow this thing down or not. Keep in mind some of those 800 ventilators are being used to help patients with other diseases already.
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25356 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:40 am to
I doubt the shortage is as severe as some say right now. It may get worse, but there arn't tens of thousands in ICU due to this virus.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:40 am to
quote:

To help treat Covid-19 patients. Is that likely to be enough for the predicted surge coming in the next couple of weeks?


Probably not even close.

My company (huge hospital operator) has thousands and they're trying to get thousands more.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:41 am to
Sort of. If we have 800 available RIGHT NOW, that means you can basically assume we maintain around 800 available at baseline even with background usage...because background usage is already happening.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Keep in mind some of those 800 ventilators are being used to help patients with other diseases already.


Bingo.

Other diseases and sickness don't stop because of COVID.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481219 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:41 am to
that's a very fine point

i imagine background usage will decline as the months get warmer and non-COVID stuff decreases out of the sick season
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:42 am to
quote:

800 of those are dedicated to COVID19 only
To be clear, Alabama has 1,344 ventilators total. However, typically about 550 are in use at any given time. The 800 number was the additional ventilators presumably available to deal with the pandemic.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14341 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:42 am to
What percentage of patients need the vent? From what I have seen, well over 80% are just being told to sleep it off at home. And I assume that not every hospitalization needs a vent.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:42 am to
quote:

i imagine background usage will decline as the months get warmer and non-COVID stuff decreases out of the sick season


Also very true, we are still intubating people for common winter illnesses
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481219 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:43 am to
so maybe we can ease up in July
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:

What percentage of patients need the vent?
These are important questions that we can't reliably answer because testing can't keep up to give us good data.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22610 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:44 am to
quote:

but there arn't tens of thousands in ICU due to this virus.


Well “tens of thousands” is a whole lot more than 800.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:45 am to
Alabama's biggest problem is going to be human resources, I think.

My institutions policy for isolation after caring for a positive patient is not sustainable for a real outbreak.

If we have to break that policy and then more HCP start getting ill and are out of the fight, we are in trouble.
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 9:46 am
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