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re: Major arctic outbreak with Deep South snowstorm potential (Jan 6th - Jan 14th)

Posted on 1/2/25 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
7055 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6509 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

We going to miss it all?


The gif I posted was for the following week, which is still just wishcasting at the moment.
Posted by Macintosh
Leveraging Salaries University
Member since Sep 2011
55486 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:42 pm to
I want to believe
Posted by HoustonGumbeauxGuy
Member since Jul 2011
32629 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

I’ve been out of town but my wife said she got 8 inches in St George last night.


Well, it certainly wasn’t from me

Posted by coldbeerfan
Orange Beach RTR Alabama
Member since Oct 2015
1535 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:46 pm to
Deer hunting will be epic and damn cold in SW Alabama. Way better then swatting skeeters and sweating like a Hebrew slave.
This post was edited on 1/2/25 at 1:48 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
127758 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:47 pm to
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
14890 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:47 pm to


Over five inches down the bayou, but Grand Isle gets nothing.
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92697 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:48 pm to
What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

The GFS I'm looking at has me (North of Austin) getting about 10" - using Kuchera. 10:1 has me at 8".

Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
14890 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

I think Kuchera relies heavily on temperature to adjust the snowfall ratio.

10:1 is the standard, but if it’s close to freezing, then Kuchera will estimate a wet snow and lower the 10:1 ratio.
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92697 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:55 pm to
Thank you!
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
7055 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:56 pm to
Kuchera takes into account atmospheric conditions such as a warm nose and is generally viewed as more reliable. If a model forecasts more snow on the kuchera ratio it’s likely going to be a lighter snow with a snow water equivalent greater than your standard 10:1 ratio
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92697 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:57 pm to
Thank you, too!
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24579 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Kuchera takes into account atmospheric conditions such as a warm nose and is generally viewed as more reliable. If a model forecasts more snow on the kuchera ratio it’s likely going to be a lighter snow with a snow water equivalent greater than your standard 10:1 ratio


Weather fascinates me, but a lot of time I'm left reading something and coming out of the other end still not having a clue what it means.
Posted by bengalman
In da Country
Member since Feb 2007
3964 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:15 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71247 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Weather fascinates me, but a lot of time I'm left reading something and coming out of the other end still not having a clue what it means.

Most of the "rules" don't apply to snow in the southeast, anyway.
This post was edited on 1/2/25 at 2:33 pm
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44688 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:


What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

The GFS I'm looking at has me (North of Austin) getting about 10" - using Kuchera. 10:1 has me at 8".


Austin getting 8-10” with DFW getting nothing would be wild.
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71239 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:20 pm to
Oh no climateers. Winter
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12508 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:21 pm to
Jesus H I hope we don’t get snow here in Hou, work and traffic will be an epic cluster fack
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92697 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Austin getting 8-10” with DFW getting nothing would be wild.


I have DFW getting around 5-7"...

LINK
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44688 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:22 pm to
Well, shite
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