re: Louisiana is in a sustained and noticeable downslope in Covid

Looking at the regions on ldh's site you can see a clear decline or leveling off in 6 of 9 regions.

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was told my someone that this is just a random site and that hospitals aren’t seeing anything that constitutes a decline. I think that is false bc even the LDH site shows decline but I was just curious.

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Hospitalizations are going to lag behind cases. So yea I wouldn’t expect hospitals to see anything different at this point. The people in the hospital got infected 2+ weeks ago.

When the case numbers are final I think you will see a case peak that happened last week. And in a week hospitalizations across the state will decrease.

But you can already see it happen on a micro level if you look at the parishes that were hit first. It just hasn’t manifested on a state level

I don’t think the hospitals would use the covidestim.org site. That site is just a model that tries to pull out the leading indicator “r(t)” from the mess that is public data.

R(t) is feed forward modeling that attempts to predict what case counts will be, so it works for a good guess but more risk averse environments (hospitals, politics) are going to be hesitant.

That being said, it looks on the damn money once again!

All I know is that they have less than three weeks to get this right before LSU’s home opener.

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You're not actually alive.

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Hmm, might explain why I see dead people