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re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*

Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:48 pm to
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

this point.


Which is a week out.

It shows this Wednesday and I'll start puckering up.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49289 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:52 pm to
I agree with you but don't act like this entire thread hasn't been filled with myself and many others pointing out the fact that we're a week out from this.

Fact is, when both of these particular models agree on something this far out, it's a decently safe bet that SOMETHING will come to fruition. Again, it's important to watch the trends with these two models, not their actual output.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Wednesday


Temp forecasts are generally accurate around here more than two days out. If this holds over the weekend, monday will be the day to pucker up baw
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

I agree with you but don't act like this entire thread hasn't been filled with myself and many others pointing out the fact that we're a week out from this.


I'm not, I'm just once again pointing it out. From run to run sometimes I have to remind myself that there is still a more likely chance that none of this will happen.

quote:

Fact is, when both of these particular models agree on something this far out, it's a decently safe bet that SOMETHING will come to fruition


If we are talking hurricanes, absolutely. Southern winter storms fart in and out like crazy though.

The thought of that much freezing rain is wild though.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104456 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:26 pm to
Freezing rain is reason enough alone to have natural gas. With the power off you can at least cook something and have a hot shower.
Posted by NoSaint
Member since Jun 2011
12483 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:31 pm to
Ultimately, even if not 14 degrees it’s going to be uncomfortably cold. The precipitation is the major wildcard
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15670 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:36 pm to
Power will be off for 2 months if this happens

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21074 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:46 pm to
quote:


If Baton Rouge gets anywhere close to that amount of FREEZING RAIN we will be out of power for two weeks.


Verbatim, that map would spell widespread destruction of electric providing infrastructure on par with hurricanes but more widespread. Luckily, it's over done by a lot as surface temps are marginal and air above the surface is absolutely torching.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49289 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Luckily, it's over done by a lot as surface temps are marginal and air above the surface is absolutely torching.



Say what? Really? How can the temperatures at the surface be so low but above the surface be considerably higher? Seems like this cold air will be entrenched enough ahead of time to not allow for that but I'm not a pro at this stuff. Could you explain further?
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

it’s going to be uncomfortably cold


20 degrees isn’t uncomfortably cold. Grow a pair
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
106401 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

12z GFS has shifted the system further to the north. Would be an ice event for Arkansas, NW Mississippi and Tennessee.


Love y'all, but you can keep the ice.

I can handle snow. I can handle shitty cold temperatures. But ice is such a pain in the arse.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77880 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:32 pm to
Not surprised. Nashville is smack dab in the middle of the ice belt.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

20 degrees isn’t uncomfortably cold. Grow a pair


Reminds me of when I was stationed in Florida and we would get a new A1C who was from up north.

We would try and tell them it is a different kind of cold down here but would pretty much hear comments like the one above.

Then they found out what wet cold feels like
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:33 pm to
quote:


20 degrees isn’t uncomfortably cold. Grow a pair


Depends on wind.

Wind is the killer, otherwise 20 degrees is easy to dress for.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
106401 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

20 degrees isn’t uncomfortably cold. Grow a pair


shite. The coldest I've ever been is -22. Have experienced my fair share of negative temp stretches even in Kentucky. It's still uncomfortably cold at 20 degrees.
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

12z GFS has shifted the system further to the north. Would be an ice event for Arkansas, NW Mississippi and Tennessee.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

We would try and tell them it is a different kind of cold down here but would pretty much hear comments like the one above


I’m from Louisiana. I know what a wet cold is like. And it’s not uncomfortably cold. Throw on a heavy coat and you’re good to go.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

How can the temperatures at the surface be so low but above the surface be considerably higher?


Cold air is dense, it sinks. If the layer is really shallow, the warm air overrides it. Pretty common phenomenon. Temperature inversions.

We have that exact situation here right now. Snowed about a foot, then warm air overrode the thin, cooler and the snow turned to freezing rain.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
45186 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:40 pm to
Dallas looking to get any of this?
Posted by BoogaBear
Member since Jul 2013
7046 posts
Posted on 2/4/21 at 4:42 pm to
We getting snowpocalypse V2 in Bham?
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