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Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:43 pm to lsuman25
Laura has to show a more defined system before it can make a true threat to the Gulf Coast. If it gets it’s act together LA/MS border could be fricked while Marco decides its going to head toward Houston but ever so slightly seems to be sliding Easterly toward the TX/LA border. Cameron Parish should hope for the best and prepare for the worst. The more I look at all the models I am thinking La is going to get hit double. What a wild 4 days coming!!
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:43 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
@Dave_Nussbaum
54s
Early rainfall estimates show we could have 3-6"+ of rain from #TD14 and #Laura. This will likely change closer to landfall next week. #BeOn4 @WWLTV
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:44 pm to TDsngumbo
The 12z HMON and HWRF models will scare the shite out of the GOM coast if they are close to accurate. Westward trend is very real
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:48 pm to lsugolfredman
12z GFS Ensembles somewhat agree with the hurricane models compared to the operational run
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:48 pm to lsugolfredman
Could TD14 shoot the gap?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:48 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
HMON and HWRF models
Stop posting these. These are obviously worst case scenarios that won’t happen
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:48 pm to lsugolfredman
They’re gonna keep moving westward until it ultimately zeros in on SWLA I bet.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:48 pm to lsuman25
Not much change in that TD14 update
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:49 pm to burdman
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:51 pm to burdman
Nothing was gonna change track wise at 2, I was showing the 2 pm position they will have to readjust little more to the right in the short term with it's position and NW movement.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:51 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
They’re gonna keep moving westward until it ultimately zeros in on SWLA I bet.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:51 pm to lsuman25
gotcha
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:51 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Stop posting these. These are obviously worst case scenarios that won’t happen
Somewhat agree, but yet, the NHC references them in their recent discussion as valid means of the consensus tracking and intensity?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:51 pm to Prominentwon
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:54 pm to burdman
quote:
Not much change in that TD14 update
that's b/c the NHC doesn't update the cone of uncertainty at the intermediate advisories
only on the full advisories is the cone updated... 4 & 10 AM & PM
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:55 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Stop posting these.
Harvey and Michael say hello!!
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:55 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
They’re gonna keep moving westward until it ultimately zeros in on SWLA I bet
You are worse than PJ in these threads.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:55 pm to rt3
Yeah. I didn't realize that
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:55 pm to TDsngumbo
It’s gonna go right up Booth’s Grocery’s butt
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