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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/7/23 at 8:40 pm to
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 8:40 pm to
DefMon with a nice graphic of Russian troop strength as of the March 1 leaked info.

Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138854 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 8:47 pm to
quote:

Nope but I will say that you are the typical politard. Which trailer park do you live in?

quote:

McNeese State Fan
That's great.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 8:49 pm to
That dude is special. He’s getting dragged by a politard
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

They look and feel authentic to me. Very interesting information, it makes me less bullish on the Ukrainian offensive's chances. Some of these munition levels are very low to sustain a high-velocity offensive


Well, but how much have they been stocking up for the offensive? And most of the latest US package of $2.6 billion was ammo of various kinds. And the EU is trying to get 1 billion Euros of ammo to Ukraine quickly, by reimbursing nations for donations from their own stocks.

For reference, Ukraine used 32,500 artillery rounds in the critical first five days of the Kharkiv offensive. But that was a much, much smaller offensive against an unsuspecting opponent.
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Regardless of the veracity of the reportedly leaked documents, which ISW will not speculate on, the response of Russian milbloggers to the New York Times story highlights the fear of prospective Ukrainian counteroffensives pervading the Russian pro-war information space.


I've seen absolutely none of this. I've seen them laughing at the KIA figures and classified documents being leaked
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

I don't know if "fall" is the right word. Russia has been gradually pushing Ukraine out of Bakhmut, while Ukraine has been conducting an active defense.

Russia already controls most of Bakhmut, and they will likely push Ukraine out of the rest of the city in the next few days.


Come on man, you don't have to spin everything to make Ukraine sound in control of every single outcome. Fall is exactly the right word based on the resources Ukraine has been throwing at it, even as recently as the past couple weeks.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

based on the resources Ukraine has been throwing at it, even as recently as the past couple weeks.


What resources are those?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15689 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

Come on man, you don't have to spin everything to make Ukraine sound in control of every single outcome. Fall is exactly the right word based on the resources Ukraine has been throwing at it, even as recently as the past couple weeks.



No spin has been needed for at least 6 months after it was supposed to fall. Even recently, Russians have claimed that it fell completely when it didn't.

I have not seen anyone on here, who supports the DEFENDERS against Russian aggression, being anything but amazed that it has been defended this long.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

I have not seen anyone on here, who supports the DEFENDERS against Russian aggression, being anything but amazed that it has been defended this long.



Even in the Jomini thread I linked in the prior page, Jomini noted that in his February 20th update that he had predicted that Bakhmut would fall by mid-March.

I remember being surprised that Ukraine held it past the anniversary of the invasion and Putin's speech.

Heck, I remember when BKR bet me in the first week of January that Bakhmut would fall within ten days.

Bakhmut isn't very important, as many people have said many times.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:27 pm to
Nothing is important as it was when it’s lost. You’re definitely back tracking.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:45 pm to
Dude, what are you talking about? I can pull up five months of posts here saying that Bakhmut has no strategic importance.
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

What resources are those?


Yesterday














I could keep going for the next hour
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

Dude, what are you talking about? I can pull up five months of posts here saying that Bakhmut has no strategic importance.

Nobody told Zelensky I guess.

Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:56 pm to
So, you have no evidence of Ukraine "throwing resources" at Bakhmut.
What you have is a few enthusiasts spinning some troop rotations as reinforcements.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

Dude, what are you talking about? I can pull up five months of posts here saying that Bakhmut has no strategic importance.


Dude, I don’t care about your posts months ago. It’s also insane to think these cities would be taken by Russia quickly in such a large country when it took the US 20 years in afg without control. It’s been a year and Ukraine will be screwed for its entire future. You also think money isn’t an issue, wait till they have to rebuild. that’s if Russia doesn’t annex it. Then all that money, destruction, and lives lost is definitely not worth it. Then you’ll have Russia even closer to Nato countries which will drag us into war.

Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

Nobody told Zelensky I guess.



Dude, we talked about that when it happened. I'm sorry that you weren't here and don't understand how that was taken out of context.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 10:59 pm to
Dude, you slurped too much propaganda. Enjoy watching more death because of your ignorance.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15689 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 11:08 pm to
Your maps don't show terrain and the series of hills. That is where most people, even those like Col. MacGregor, have screwed up. It's not a place for tank charges across from the east. High ground matters. The reason that Russia could even advance to Bakhmut was because Popasna fell in May of last year. Russia was able to advance on the ridge without fire from high ground above it. Even with high ground, it took Russia 11 months to advance 20 miles.
This post was edited on 4/7/23 at 11:10 pm
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

it took Russia 11 months to advance 20 miles.


This is false and nobody is expected Russia to storm through this. They are advancing whether you want to admit it or not.
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/7/23 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

Your maps don't show terrain and the series of hills. That is where most people, even those like Col. MacGregor, have screwed up. It's not a place for tank charges across from the east. High ground matters. The reason that Russia could even advance to Bakhmut was because Popasna fell in May of last year. Russia was able to advance on the ridge without fire from high ground above it. Even with high ground, it took Russia 11 months to advance 20 miles.



I was just quoting the hero Volodymyr Zelenskyy, don't shoot the messenger. Bakhmut was a fortress if you saw the videos, tens of thousands of troops & waves of trenches all over the city running into the buildings. Once Wagner got into the city, they rolled through it pretty easily. The funniest part is y'all act like Ukraine has the manpower and supplies to keep making these stands but the reality is...they don't.


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