re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

After denying missile strike on Odesa, Russia now admits it but says it hit military target, which those sneaky Ukrainians disguised as a grain elevator.

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 24 July 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

In the Donbas, small-scale Russian offensive action remains focused on the Bakhmut axis, but it is
making minimal progress.

On 20 July 2022, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov said that Russia had expanded the scope of its 'special military operation' beyond the self-declared Luhansk and Donetsk People's Republics. Lavrov claimed that the operation now included new additional areas, including the Ukrainian regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, as a result of Western countries supplying longer range weapons to Ukraine. This is almost certainly not true. Russia has not 'expanded its war; maintaining long-term control of these areas was almost certainly an original goal of the invasion. Russia invaded these areas in February and the occupation authorities have been publicly discussing the prospects for legal independent referendums since at least mid-March. There is a realistic possibility that Lavrov made the comments to pave the way for referenda to take place in occupied territories beyond Luhansk, and Donetsk

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He has been all over the board since Feb 24th. Doesn't know squat about commodities, especially oil. But he sounds like he knows all about them. Formerly part of Stratfor which originated in Baton Rouge but moved to Austin because Baton Rouge was too conservative to get academics to work for it.

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I'm beginning to discount much of what you say. If you were as good as you think you are, you'd be an assistant to the president or a pentagon consultant.

What is the logistics line for Chinese oil importation? Is it vulnerable in any way? Can China feed their population within the border of their country? What do you think Russia will do after Ukraine? Or first things first, will they eventually take over the entire country? Will the United States sit at arms-length and watch this happen?

By the way, a while back you told us the GreenRiver shale was not a source rock like the Haynesville or Eagle Ford or Marcellus or Woodford or Utica because they retort it for oil production. But in fact the Green River in Colorado is very mucha source rock. So you were wrong there.

It's at the surface man.

Invaders trying to restore bridges in Kherson region

In Kherson region, the Russian invaders try to quickly repair bridges, aiming to restore the ammunition and heavy equipment supply routes.

"The occupiers in Kherson region repair damaged bridges, trying to restore the ammunition and heavy equipment supply routes which are actually broken," Yuriy Sobolevskyi, the first deputy chairman of the Kherson Regional Council, posted on Facebook.

According to him, the quality of work and the safety of using the bridges are questionable because everything is done "as quickly as possible" and specialists were involved in the repair works almost at gunpoint.

specialists at work...

UKRINFORM

It is not at the surface. That is a weathered paraffinic (not wax) oil in Unitah Basin in Utah you are thinking of. I have worked with that group over there. They strip mine it, put it through a mixing processing process with condensate and a few chemicals. Lots of promises and no purchase orders from them. They have a process developed by a Slavic (Russian or Ukrainian) immigrant chemical engineer. He didn't seem to be good at project management though. The management seemed to more about selling stock.

The assay of the actual "oil" has almost no asphaltenes and is high in cetane content with low sulfur content.

Transportation cost is an issue since only via tank truck and lots of miles to get to a refinery or pipeline for under 10,000 BPD.

Some of the mines were horizontal shafts. The shale rock there has not even matured enough to even be actual oil. The methods used by Unocal, bought by Chevron, used a LOT of water with the retorting process.

My former employer bought the equipment from Shell development which had been adapted for soil remediation and used in Guam. It ended up being a bad investment which generated no money. Shell has sold the technology to an environmental engineering firm but under a separate liquidation sold the equipment which that former employer, Garner Environmental, had purchased at scrap value. I worked for a different division, but well aware of this venture.

I get that the oilfield business model is completely different than refining business process. Oilfield baws drill, produce and sell what is produced. They usually have no idea what happens to the oil after it hits the pipeline. I also get than may offshore oil leases are turned back in due either too difficult to drill or nothing found. A case in point is the BP Macondo well. Texaco had that lease in the 90's and found it too difficult to drill so turned it back in. Dominion picked up the lease than opted not to even try, then BP got it and tried a long string vertical casing which other majors thought to risky to do. Viola

It seems that the poliboard has been 90% goobers for years. Most get all of their info from Dore, Poole or Infowars/Prison Planet where fake news abounds.

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t where fake news abounds.

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Now do this war and the US media.

Ukrainian fan boys probably still believe in the ghost of kiev.

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Do we know what happened to the encircled Russians in northern Kherson oblast? Though the ISW posts are good, they seem to be a day behind and seemingly more out of caution of misreporting.

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This has been a subject receiving contradictory reports. No surprise there, as well as with the delay of new information. The latest I can find is Tpyxa reporting the day before yesterday that the report is not accurate. However yesterday Arestovich reported that they were surrounded . Yeah... ok. Hopefully we'll get clarification soon.