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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:48 pm to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:48 pm to


The very average American will believe what they choose to believe here. That's how we end up with a nation of neocons.

Funny how that used to be a pejorative, now people wear it proudly. its Europe's war, not ours.
This post was edited on 7/1/22 at 1:51 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16185 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:50 pm to
BTW, that total amount produced included about 2 million BPD from stripper wells with only a few barrels per day production. They had to be shutdown in Spring of 2020 when all tank farms were full everywhere due extreme slowdown in refining. Most of those sanded up and not worth the expense to rework to get flowing again, so plugged and abandoned
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

This might have held water had we not become the number 1 producer under Trump. Do you think our fields all of a sudden went dry? Open your eyes to reality



We were the number one producer in 2014 (and 2015 too), according to the BP report I posted elsewhere, but crude oil prices were still extremely high until June of 2014, when the price of crude dropped from $120 a barrel to a statistical low of $61 a barrel. Prices increased from there to $86 a barrel despite the increase in production in the US. What mediates oil prices then? I'm asking as I know nothing about oil markets and there seems to be something inelastic about them.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:55 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/18/26 at 5:49 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:55 pm to
quote:


The shortages is due to shutting our country down unnecessarily for 2 years and giving thousands of dollars away for free


Having a president campaign on ending fossil fuel isn't good for anyone.

If people don't think this had an affect, they're idiots..
Evidently there's people in this thread who don't understand economics and why printing money to give to Ukraine at the present time is really stupid.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

The conflict ends faster, we don’t send any more money, and we can focus on normalizing the world’s supply chains.



But is sending money to Ukraine related to normalizing supply chains at all? Prices and inflation were increasing before the Russian invasion. If the conflict ends faster, would supply chains somehow immediately recover?

The answer to COVID should have been to build state capacity for certain important needs such as healthcare-related goods as well as things like chip foundries, in my estimation, but I don't think we did that. Returning to the pre-COVID normal still didn't address some of the weaknesses of US industrial capacity, although it is good that Intel announced two new chip factories outside Columbus, Ohio.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:59 pm to
That chart isn't an estimate of reserves. It is about production. Those are two different things. Again, see this report. LINK
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 1:59 pm to
quote:


And energy costs across the board have skyrocketed since the basement dummy took office.


I'm sure his war on fossil fuel has investors chomping at the bit.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16185 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:00 pm to
Not reserves, production and then 2 million BPD of stripper wells were lost forever after being shutdown due slowdown in 2020

How is 17 MPD of refining supplied by that production even with 2 million BPD being exported?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16185 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:01 pm to
The world shutdown, except Sweden
Posted by alpinetiger
Salt Lake City
Member since Apr 2017
5864 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

Putin's actual publicly stated goals of restoring Russia to the borders of the USSR
You should try reading the actual transcripts of Putin's speeches, rather than the NYT, BBC, WaPo, etc.. editorials. In the 2/21 speech he talks about pre-Bolshevik Russia in relation to Ukraine and its borders, and also quotes this book (Always with Honor - Pyotr Wrangel):



The author Wrangel was the leader of the anti-communist "White Army" against the "Red Army" after Czar Nicholas II abdicated the Russian throne. Putin is not a Bolshevik. But go ahead and keep on believing all the Yalies, Kennedy School, and other Ivy League foreign policy and media shite stains that have been using the same playbook since the 50's.
This post was edited on 7/1/22 at 2:04 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

But is sending money to Ukraine related to normalizing supply chains at all?


Economically, its backwards.

It will further frick up supply chains because it increases demand for transportation and hardware.
This post was edited on 7/1/22 at 2:07 pm
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

I'm sure his war on fossil fuel has investors chomping at the bit.



But the energy prices to ultimate consumers has been elevated since May of 2020, but the trend of prices has been steadily increasing since 2012, when it was 9.84 to 2019, when it was 10.59. Those energy prices include two oil crashes, one in 2014 and one in 2020. Energy prices were under 11 for a period between March and May of 2021, but then started increasing again, possibly driven by summer demand. Prices were trending downward again in October of 2021 to the end of that year, but increased sharply in January from 11.1 to 11.3, and then 11.6 in the month of March.

The milieu of those energy prices is presidencies that had widely different approaches to energy. What's the explanation for consistent price increases the past decade?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

But the energy prices to ultimate consumers has been elevated since May of 2020,


And still rising.

Biden has done nothing to alleviate the problem and his "war on fossil fuels" made it worse. I wouldn't invest long term in something that he's vowed to destroy.

I'm sure the war machine we just funded will not cause this to worsen one bit. Billions of dollars to push the supply chains that are already broken.

Social reformers make shitty leaders.
Posted by pussywillows
Member since Dec 2009
6657 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:10 pm to
some of you have absolutely no idea how governmental accounting and spending work...
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Economically, its backwards.

It will further frick up supply chains because it increases demand for transportation and hardware.


So it further fricks up supply chains, but there is no guarantee that supply chains would be fixed if there was no US support of Ukraine at all? Why were prices for some aspects of logistics management increasing well before the war and COVID? LINK
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39825 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

And still rising.

Biden has done nothing to alleviate the problem and his "war on fossil fuels" made it worse. I wouldn't invest long term in something that he's vowed to destroy.

I'm sure the war machine we just funded will not cause this to worsen one bit. Billions of dollars to push the supply chains that are already broken.

Social reformers make shitty leaders.



Well none of that actually answers my question. Why has the ultimate price to consumers increased despite whatever approach the US takes to energy? Give me something substantive for once.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

So it further fricks up supply chains, but there is no guarantee that supply chains would be fixed if there was no US support of Ukraine at all?


What the frick is wrong with you? Do you not understand that between two extremes you'll most likely find a hell of a lot of middle ground? Why further frick up something that's already fricked up? Do you realize that prolongs recovery? What part of "making it worse" do you not understand?

So, because you have no guarantee its Ok to further make the same mistakes again? Jesus Christ.

The last thing you do in economic distress is heat up things even more. that's as simple economics as you can get.
This post was edited on 7/1/22 at 2:15 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16185 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:15 pm to
No disagreement about Biden but refinery closures were about business decisions, except for Shell which was forced by a lawsuit in Europe to cut refining capacity globally.

The truth is that refineries are money losers as often as they return a low single digit profit in percent profit. in 2020 they were epic losers globally.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 7/1/22 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

but refinery closures were about business decisions,


Biden has stated he wants to end fossil fuels. There's no way to claim that isn't impacting the situation.

When you beg others to produce while putting your own fields off limits, this is the shite you get.
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