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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:04 am to
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
20385 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:04 am to
Who do y'all follow on Twitter for in-depth hurricane updates? I used to follow crankywxguy but he seems to have disappeared and some weird impersonator took his place.
Posted by greenhead11
Member since Feb 2012
949 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:04 am to
Insurance market will be even worse if anywhere near takes a direct hit from a major storm. Got a quote last year after Ida for 40k premium on a very average sized house
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126017 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:04 am to
For those having heart attacks looking at GFS…

Spaghetti yesterday 1800


Today early 1200


That is actually a shift mostly East with continued west outliers
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
38359 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:05 am to
quote:

While hurricanes suck, one threatening the gulf coast will raise oil and gas prices which should help hurt Biden in the midterms. Short term pain, long term gain.


The religion of politics strikes again. Get some help
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36287 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:06 am to
A bad one every 15 years and you’re ready to throw in the towel? You gonna let that keep you from Darrel’s?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452542 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:07 am to
Nothing is impossible but it doesn't seem very likely it will be able to swing all the way to LC.

But I really don't want any LA hits because if any place of population gets hit, it will legit wreck our insurance market.
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:07 am to
quote:

Cosmo

Aren't the spaghetti models behind the run?

Also, do we trust you as much as Duke and rds?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
27723 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:07 am to
quote:

For those having heart attacks looking at GFS…


What about for those of us having strokes?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36287 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:07 am to
quote:

Insurance market will be even worse if anywhere near takes a direct hit from a major storm. Got a quote last year after Ida for 40k premium on a very average sized house



Is it made out of toothpicks?
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
20385 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:08 am to
I don't know what all the acronyms mean, but even 2 of the west outliers (AVNI, HMNI) shifted east, right? Look at where they cross the Yucatan.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452542 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:08 am to
quote:

A bad one every 15 years and you’re ready to throw in the towel?

I don't think y'all understand how bad Laura was, and how little we got in federal aid.

Then we got Delta, a 100-year flood, etc.

quote:

You gonna let that keep you from Darrel’s?

This isn't the late 90s/early 00s anymore.
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118106 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:08 am to
quote:

I know every RE investor in SWLA



Yeah. I don’t doubt that.

I’m just wondering what it’s like in a place where the market for homeowners is nonexistent.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452542 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Also, do we trust you as much as Duke and rds?

rds

Duke


The Boat


Cosmo
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126017 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Aren't the spaghetti models behind the run?


They all look like they initialize same place

Here is 6z
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 8:09 am
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175923 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Someone needs to add "Stout saying he is leaving the state if another storm hits LC" to the hurricane thread bingo card



Har har har because I say that all the time in these threads, right? I dont think I have ever said it in one of these at least on a serious note. I am serious this time.

Other people have said it as well and it has far more to do with recovery than it does with the storm.

LC has had more than just major hurricanes hit us and the City and Parish always lag behind in response. The Police Jury is still cleaning up drainage from the storms and is doing so at a snail's pace. As far as the city goes the Mayor has been pretty ineffective in getting Fed assistance even currently under Dems that are just printing money. On a state level, Reps and Senators all acted like they were trying to help but very little has been done.

SELA has recovered faster in one year than SWLA has in two. Granted they weren't hit as hard but their leadership has done more. It's embarrassing
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126017 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:09 am to
That is being generous to me
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175923 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

A bad one every 15 years and you’re ready to throw in the towel?


I could handle one every 15 years if SWLA had effective leadership post storm.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452542 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

the Mayor has been pretty ineffective in getting Fed assistance

That's because this fricking moron is our rep



Clay Higgins and his people give 0 fricks about LC. The fact that LC voters will vote for him again in November is ridiculous.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36287 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:12 am to
quote:

I don't think y'all understand how bad Laura was, and how little we got in federal aid.



Uh, we got hit with the 2nd costliest storm to hit LA 12 months ago and got even less federal aid. Pretty sure we feel your pain
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126017 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:12 am to
quote:

I could handle one every 15 years if SWLA had effective leadership post storm.


Tough to get money from feds when they would rather send that money to foreign countries

Its easier to steal money when you send it abroad
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