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re: Hurricane Season - Nicole only 2nd Cat 3 for Bermuda

Posted on 9/4/16 at 9:25 am to
Posted by Kcrad
Diamondhead
Member since Nov 2010
55507 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 9:25 am to


I'm going to fly my GS to Cancun and board up my mansion on my island.

Anyone want to tag along, females only.
Posted by DoctorTechnical
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2009
2808 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 9:41 am to
Mind a couple of question RDS?

quote:

Low level flow
Flow of what?
quote:

this can cause the LL to become divergent
Why?
quote:

you need low level convergence for deep convection
Again, why?

Just want to advance my skills here in the TD Skul of Naw-ledge.
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 10:30 am to
quote:

And away we geaux!!!!!!!!!


Over / under 100 pages?
We don't need any storms. Hope they all get sheared to pieces.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 10:57 am to
Yeah, I'm hoping it just skips across Mexico then moves into the Pacific staying on the westward trend.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 2:09 pm to
The 12z Euro takes what appears to be the lower level vorticity associated with 92L and then eventually spins up a weak system that moves into SW Louisiana:

Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
15403 posts
Posted on 9/4/16 at 2:39 pm to
Will my trip to punta Cana be ruined?
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68960 posts
Posted on 9/5/16 at 10:39 am to
So what is the latest on I92?
Posted by USEyourCURDS
Member since Apr 2016
12106 posts
Posted on 9/5/16 at 12:12 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/28/19 at 9:55 am
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43317 posts
Posted on 9/5/16 at 12:31 pm to
The Euro hates LA
This post was edited on 9/5/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/8/16 at 10:01 am to
Not much going on as we approach the peak but the NHC is watching a couple of areas out in the Atlantic.



93L might have a chance but will most likely curve out to sea, if it does anything.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/8/16 at 1:35 pm to
93L has a decent spin to it today and the 12z Euro takes a pretty big jog west bringing a weak system into Florida. The interesting thing about 93L is that it is moving towards the place and time that one would look for development when a KW pushes through.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 9:33 am to
The models don't do much with 93L but it looks like it could get stuck under the ridge and head towards Florida.



Unrelated to 93L, the NHC has flagged a new area but hasn't numbered it yet. It appears to be the northern end of old 92L.

Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7750 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 10:03 am to
Im guessing since its not even numbered yet, that we shouldnt have too much to worry about?
This post was edited on 9/9/16 at 10:04 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 11:57 am to
quote:


Im guessing since its not even numbered yet, that we shouldnt have too much to worry about?



NHC reactivated 92L but conditions don't look favorable for development at this time.

Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7750 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 12:56 pm to
Yeah im bored at work and just saw this on storm2k. Im so used to these storms blowing up and coming right at us, that it just seems odd to me that there are 3 disturbances out there at the same time, and none of them are really showing potential to affect us that much.
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7750 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 12:59 pm to
Someone just posted an update saying it could be a depression as earlybas today. 40 percent chance of development through both 48 hours and 5 days.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52189 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 1:03 pm to
I didn't realize 92L had ventured that far north
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 2:19 pm to
NHC bumps 92L to 40%

quote:


3. Satellite wind data indicate that low pressure located in the
Straits of Florida is producing squalls of 30 to 35 mph east of its
center. If the system's thunderstorm activity persists or increases
in organization, it could result in the formation of a tropical
depression later today or Saturday. However, even if a depression
forms, upper-level winds are not favorable for significant
development while the system moves westward into the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico. This system could produce squalls and gusty winds
in the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 2:21 pm to
quote:


I didn't realize 92L had ventured that far north


It was a pretty elongated wave and this appears to be from the remnants of the northern portion of the wave.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11602 posts
Posted on 9/9/16 at 3:12 pm to
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