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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:50 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19821 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

Happy hour GFS switched back to a strong hurricane into the Texas/Mexico border

It keeps 91L and 92L out to sea. 91L still not developing much until it gets into a better environment next weekend.


One thing to keep an eye on is that the other global models have been flirting with a system the last couple of days but on the Pacific side. There isn't a lot of physical distance from the area the GFS is focusing on to the area preferred by the other models.

12z ICON



12z Euro (weaker but similar area to ICON)

>

18z GFS



Recon from today confirmed that there is a lot of dry air ingested in the 91L wave pouch. It will be slow to develop.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41734 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:51 pm to
I love that we have a 56 page, 1,120 comments thread over a couple systems that have yet to even develop and we’re all watching models go back and forth, hanging onto each run like we haven’t been fooled a million times before
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164349 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

Recon from today confirmed that there is a lot of dry air ingested in the 91L wave pouch. It will be slow to develop.


Yeah the environment is pretty bad for 91L at the moment.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54897 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:52 pm to
Let's be real here, if not for the GFS this thread would have died days ago.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19821 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:54 pm to
Pure Happy Hour here but it does show that little hook back to the SW that the 12z Euro showed for 91L

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164349 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:56 pm to
GFS has a strong high driving 91L into the Carolinas 264 hours out after dancing around for days.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54897 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:58 pm to
It hasn't had much of a handle on any of those Highs lately. It is all over the place.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41734 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:58 pm to
That turn to the west is one thing the GFS and EURO agree on. They just don’t agree where it happens.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164349 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:59 pm to
Love the shoving motion the high makes when you gif the run
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54897 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:59 pm to
The Euro makes more sense with how it handles it. The GFS tries to turn it into a game of Snake.
This post was edited on 8/28/22 at 6:00 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41734 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:01 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54897 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:02 pm to
quote:

Love the shoving motion the high makes when you gif the run

Looks like Randy Bobandy gave that shitbird a belly bump.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164349 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:03 pm to
Drive that cheeseburger into that Carolina cheeseburger locker.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22193 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

Pretty sure that dude has a mullet


That stupid frick calls himself "weatherman +" like he's an actual meteorologist but better. frick him and his mullet.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164349 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

That stupid frick calls himself "weatherman +" like he's an actual meteorologist but better. frick him and his mullet.


He puts a lot of bible stuff and christianity into his videos so I think he has kind of a weird pentecostal evangelical cult following. That's why all the comments are from 55 year olds saying thank you and God bless.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22193 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:08 pm to
I'm going to watch him when an actual system threatens the US then I'm gonna go ballistic in the comment section.
This post was edited on 8/28/22 at 6:09 pm
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12036 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:12 pm to
So none of these invests or disturbances are a threat to the Gulf coast ? Might catch a break this year after all.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Might catch a break this year after all.


Posted by Da Sheik
Trump Tower
Member since Sep 2007
7962 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 6:48 pm to
rds dc, I totally agree with you after analyzing my data.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54897 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

I'm going to watch him when an actual system threatens the US then I'm gonna go ballistic in the comment section.

I just really want to flick him in the nuts with a fly swatter.
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