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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:26 pm to ForeverLSU02
Hope the second storm stays east. Gonna be at the beach from the 15th-22nd.
Hopefully it's 18z GFS nonsense, and it does stay east.
Hopefully it's 18z GFS nonsense, and it does stay east.
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 6:29 pm
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:48 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
18z GEFS with a pretty strong signal that something will be approaching the Islands in just over a week.
Euro EPS has a similar look but not as many members are showing a system.
Euro EPS has a similar look but not as many members are showing a system.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:49 pm to rds dc
This new one is going to be the small one.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Damn 18z has it going alot further west than I'm comfortable with
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:11 pm to ForeverLSU02
Going up the eastern seaboard....
Posted on 7/6/17 at 10:43 pm to dukke v
quote:
Going up the eastern seaboard....
That is as good a guess as any given that the wave the models appear to be keying on is still over Africa tonight
At least a portion of the 18z GEFS members agree with you but some also like the Gulf and open Atlantic
The 12z Euro Para is finally in and it also has a low riding system moving into the Islands. There might actually be something here.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 11:43 pm to rds dc
00z GFS still shows a system moving westward into the Caribbean
Posted on 7/6/17 at 11:53 pm to rds dc
Is that 94L or the wave off Africa?
Posted on 7/6/17 at 11:56 pm to texag7
Wave from Africa based on the # of hours. That's a good 10 days out.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 11:57 pm to texag7
got a week to watch the new 1
all we know right now is that it's going to head into the general direction of the islands
all we know right now is that it's going to head into the general direction of the islands
Posted on 7/7/17 at 6:37 am to rt3
00z Euro brings a well formed system into the Islands, pretty good agreement across the models right now. This could also be a sign that an active season is on tap.
Posted on 7/7/17 at 7:35 am to rds dc
This thing is apparently going to hang out in the ocean for the rest of the summer.
Just make landfall, dammit!
Just make landfall, dammit!
Posted on 7/7/17 at 7:38 am to Flashback
quote:
This thing is apparently going to hang out in the ocean for the rest of the summer.
Just make landfall, dammit!
That is a new system, if the parent wave/pouch maintains as it moves off of African and the models continue to show development then it will designated as 95L by NHC.
Posted on 7/7/17 at 7:38 am to rds dc
06z GFS at the same time as the 00z Euro image above:
Posted on 7/7/17 at 7:47 am to dukke v
quote:
Going up the eastern seaboard....
Seriously PEEJ. Why you wanna say that a week before I leave for New York?
Posted on 7/7/17 at 7:50 am to rds dc
GFS has the storm staying south and making landfall on the Yucatan peninsula. Looks like Euro wants to bring it further north. As stressful as these storms make me I really shouldn't be constantly looking at these models and dwelling on them, especially 2 weeks out.
I just find this stuff really intriguing.
I just find this stuff really intriguing.
Posted on 7/7/17 at 8:36 am to rds dc
(no message)
Posted on 7/7/17 at 9:07 am to rds dc
One reason the models might be so excited about this system is there could be a KW pushing across the basin making conditions more favorable for development. Notice changes across Atlantic from week 1 to 2 (top 2 panels on right)
Posted on 7/9/17 at 5:22 pm to rds dc
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