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Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
Explain?
To my memory, which is admittedly bad..
rds is an experienced meteorologist.
tBoat is a meteorology student that has either lined up a job or has started one by now
Duke studied meteorology in college but does something else now, just follows along
To my memory, which is admittedly bad..
rds is an experienced meteorologist.
tBoat is a meteorology student that has either lined up a job or has started one by now
Duke studied meteorology in college but does something else now, just follows along
This post was edited on 8/17/22 at 3:11 pm
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:15 pm to Dire Wolf
quote:
space city said there is a good bit of sheer in BOC so hopefully that deters development. Models are starting to show some sloppy rain in SETX over the next week, ill wishcast the frick out of that.
There's still a bunch of shear over a whole lot of the Atlantic.
A sloppy rainmaker to Texas off this system should be the extent.
CCKW passage over Africa with the MJO getting favorable has turned on the wave train. Its still hostile in the MDR, and should remain so for another week at least.
Probably going to see a few sacrificial waves across the MDR in the next 10 days. That'll help moisten the environment as we get toward that last week in August.
Im feeling more confident in the general idea now that there's some model support in that timeframe. Nothing is real on them yet but they're seeing the background environment start to flip to favorable.
ETA: y'all check the new thread
This post was edited on 8/17/22 at 3:22 pm
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:18 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:Head to Cabo and you're alright.
My wife decided to plan a trip to mexico for labor day.
Right in time for the tropics to start firing up
Scratch "Vacation" off the bingo card
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:42 pm to Duke
This deserves posting here:
@TylerWSFA12
@backinblack_wx
@TylerWSFA12
quote:
Question for #wxtwitter on this fine Wednesday:
At what point do we at least sort of believe what the GFS is doing?
@backinblack_wx
quote:
Let me help…when there’s broad ensemble support. The gfs has had 16 runs since June 1st where a hurricane has impacted the northern gulf coast outside of 240 hours out. We have had 0 hurricanes impact the northern gulf coast and that includes times of several runs in a row.
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:43 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:Yes, and doesn’t Duke also have a hurricane blog now?
rds is an experienced meteorologist. tBoat is a meteorology student that has either lined up a job or has started one by now Duke studied meteorology in college but does something else now, just follows along
This post was edited on 8/17/22 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
broad ensemble support
This also doesn't mean a few members either. I feel like the same theme is repeated every year.
GFS has been horrible this year, especially that far out. Euro has been ok, if not too conservative. Canadian is, well, it's the Canadian. UKMET is doing ok this year, I think.
If ensembles show "broad" support for that Gulf system, I'll start to pay attention.
This post was edited on 8/17/22 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:49 pm to When in Rome
quote:
Yes, and doesn’t Duke also have a hurricane blog now?
Not just hurricanes. If it blows, pours, bakes, or freezes, he will take a look at it.
Posted on 8/17/22 at 4:49 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
The fact that your list does not include dukkev means that it is complete shite. Also, why you trying to frick on my boy Legend who is also excluded?
Legend is solid...has been educating this coonass on dem big spinny things
Posted on 8/17/22 at 4:54 pm to Duke
quote:
A sloppy rainmaker to Texas off this system should be the extent.
I'll take it.
Posted on 8/17/22 at 5:13 pm to RummelTiger
If a potential cyclone is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico and threaten an area from Galveston to Destin, I will begin to fill my car up each day and start gathering non perishable items.
I never get anxious or distracted by a forecast model that predicts a northern gulf coast threat beyond 144 hours.
I never get anxious or distracted by a forecast model that predicts a northern gulf coast threat beyond 144 hours.
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