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re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:37 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:37 am to rds dc
This is a complicated setup with a tropical wave (AEW) moving westward as a broad area of low pressure develops (CAG). Earlier model runs seemed to favor developing the AEW, but now models seem to be focusing on one of the vorts that spin up in the CAG.
3
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:41 am to rds dc
Can you please define these acronyms rds?
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:41 am to rds dc
quote:
This is a complicated setup with a tropical wave (AEW) moving westward as a broad area of low pressure develops (CAG). Earlier model runs seemed to favor developing the AEW, but now models seem to be focusing on one of the vorts that spin up in the CAG.
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:44 am to Suntiger
We aint sure what spinny will/may form.
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:46 am to Duke
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:46 am to Duke
quote:
We aint sure what spinny will/may form.
That's how you dumb it down for us.
As long as it's not a pretty buzz saw spinny rain
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:47 am to rds dc
Would that latter scenario favor a more easterly track?
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:53 am to Motorboat
quote:
Can you please define these acronyms rds?
This is a complicated setup with a tropical wave (AEW) moving westward as a broad area of low pressure develops (CAG). Earlier model runs seemed to favor developing the AEW, but now models seem to be focusing on one of the vorts that spin up in the CAG.
tropical wave (AEW)
broad area of low pressure develops (CAG).
vorts - areas of spin that can grow upscale into tropical storms
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:53 am to LSUJML
quote:Isn't it ironic.
That’s about right, day of my outdoor wedding
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:55 am to m57
quote:
Would that latter scenario favor a more easterly track?
Most likely, given climo. It's hard to get storms to move back west in the Gulf this time of year.
Posted on 9/28/24 at 9:59 am to Motorboat
To be slightly more specific, the terms also have geographic components:
AEW - African Easterly Wave - wave of energy coming from the east (towards Africa)
CAG - Central American Gyre - slowly rotating area of low pressure that forms over Central America
AEW - African Easterly Wave - wave of energy coming from the east (towards Africa)
CAG - Central American Gyre - slowly rotating area of low pressure that forms over Central America
Posted on 9/28/24 at 10:00 am to Motorboat
(dreaded double post)
This post was edited on 9/28/24 at 10:01 am
Posted on 9/28/24 at 10:00 am to CrazyTigerFan
Thanks that helps!
Posted on 9/28/24 at 10:22 am to Bobby OG Johnson
How did Helene create upwelling? Didn't it blast through the Gulf? I thought that means upwelling doesn't happen the faster a hurricane moves through the Gulf. That's good news if true.
Posted on 9/28/24 at 10:28 am to friendlyobservation
quote:
To be slightly more specific, the terms also have geographic components:
AEW - African Easterly Wave - wave of energy coming from the east (towards Africa)
CAG - Central American Gyre - slowly rotating area of low pressure that forms over Central America
AEW? Tony Kahn creating a storm? Lol
Posted on 9/28/24 at 10:41 am to LSUJML
quote:
That’s about right, day of my outdoor wedding
That’s karma for making your friends go to a wedding on a Saturday during football season.
And even though it’s a bye week for LSU, your anniversary will forever be during peak football season
Posted on 9/28/24 at 11:05 am to stout
987 millibars just above the 980 generally accepted as the range for a Cat 1 Hurricane. If it stays on this course, hopefully it will not develop into more than Tropical Storm.
Posted on 9/28/24 at 11:08 am to warlock1974
Our power just came back on
Posted on 9/28/24 at 11:13 am to rds dc
Lol 12Z GFS did it damnest to develop the AEW and the CAG
Posted on 9/28/24 at 11:14 am to JonTheTigerFan
quote:
That’s karma for making your friends go to a wedding on a Saturday during football season.
We will have tvs on during reception
Not worried about anniversary, both huge LSU fans so football will override fancy dinners
I’m mostly hoping it turns out to be nothing because after seeing the flooding & devastation from Helene those people need all the help they can get, it would be terrible if resources had to be spread out to help another area
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