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Posted on 9/19/17 at 12:56 pm to lsuman25
Yep AF303 is almost to the eye
this image should auto update.
this image should auto update.
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 9/19/17 at 12:57 pm to 50_Tiger
AHHHH 919 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted on 9/19/17 at 12:58 pm to 50_Tiger
holy frick
Posted on 9/19/17 at 12:59 pm to slackster
quote:
St. Croix could be in really bad shape. Their airport and sea port are both on the central/western end of the island as well as the windward side with respect to Maria.
If nothing else St. Croix wasn't in bad shape after Irma went through. St. Thomas and St. Marten got the worst of all that, there were some power outages, but other than that the Island was doing well.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:00 pm to slackster
NE eye wall winds are 145 kts (167mph) according to the SFMR on the latest recon pass.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:01 pm to slackster
quote:
NE eye wall winds are 145 kts (167mph) according to the SFMR on the latest recon pass.
50_Tiger PR disaster probability index: 90%
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:03 pm to slackster
quote:
NE eye wall winds are 145 kts (167mph) according to the SFMR on the latest recon pass.
Don't see a flag on it either.
Pressures are flagged in the center.
922-920 mb my guess
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:05 pm to 50_Tiger
It looks like the hurricane force winds may have expanded quite a bit as well. SFMR winds of 65kt or higher were found 45 nautical miles from the center on the way in. That is in the SW quadrant, where the NHC said the 64kt winds were only 20nm on the last advisory.
We'll have to wait and see what the NHC says.
We'll have to wait and see what the NHC says.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:23 pm to Duke
quote:
Don't see a flag on it either. Pressures are flagged in the center. 922-920 mb my guess
Looks like the official pressure is 920mb. Eye diameter is 5 nm.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:25 pm to slackster
quote:
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT MARIA HAS STRENGTHENED...
Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that Maria has strengthened above the intensity in the
2 PM AST advisory, with estimated maximum sustained winds of 165 mph
(265 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 215PM AST...1815 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 63.6W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...265 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 1:25 pm
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:25 pm to slackster
Got a little double maxima showing up there. ERC appears to be starting in earnest.
Vortex message has a 5 n mile eye.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:26 pm to rds dc
Any word from Dominica? Since last night's report of the prime minister's roof blowing off?
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Got a little double maxima showing up there. ERC appears to be starting in earnest.
I like how when you say this I can read the data and see it too now
. 8 -> 5nm implies an EWRC due to the shrinkage no?
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:30 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
8 -> 5nm implies an EWRC due to the shrinkage no?
Not really. Implies she's getting stronger in the short run.
It's when you see the second eyewall form up that the replacement begins.
I'll note typically these super small eyes don't hold on for a long time. They probably need a bigger eyewall to keep sucking up more energy.
"I like how when you say this I can read the data and see it too now"
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:33 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
time to teach 50 something new. WTF is a hot tower
When you don't use lube and the friction causes a burn on your penis?
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:36 pm to deltaland
unrelated Mexico City just got a 7.4 earthquake
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:36 pm to lsuman25
quote:
unrelated Mexico City just got a 7.4 earthquake
Isn't that their second large EQ in a month?
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:38 pm to 50_Tiger
yea happened with Irma I believe
Posted on 9/19/17 at 1:39 pm to TennesseeFan25
quote:
If nothing else St. Croix wasn't in bad shape after Irma went through. St. Thomas
One of the worst things about Maria is that it will compound Irma recovery efforts. People have been evacuating from St Thomas & St John to P.R. Relief supplies have been flown into San Juan & St. Croix. Now instead of helping with Irma, they will have their own disaster to deal with.
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