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3
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:32 am to rt3
GFS has Irma at 898 pressure 
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:33 am to rt3
fml 
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:34 am to rt3
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:38 am to ForeverLSU02
quote:
GFS has Irma at 898 pressure
It's still over the ocean at that point, but should give you the idea how primed that part of the Atlantic is.
Track is still very much in flux and the models are still untrustworthy that far out. Don't get whiplash watching model runs at this point guys.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:38 am to cajuncarguy
essentially we have the 2 top models sticking to their guns for the long run currently
GFS -recurving it out to sea
Euro - getting into the GOM
1 will have to yield at some point
I think the new Euro comes out in about an hour or so, correct?
GFS -recurving it out to sea
Euro - getting into the GOM
1 will have to yield at some point
I think the new Euro comes out in about an hour or so, correct?
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 11:41 am
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:40 am to Duke
quote:
It's still over the ocean at that point, but should give you the idea how primed that part of the Atlantic is.
Track is still very much in flux and the models are still untrustworthy that far out. Don't get whiplash watching model runs at this point guys.
I would say this is more fun for me... but fun would be a bad word to use here
I'd say it's very, very interesting
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:41 am to rt3
Yeah around 1pm I believe
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:46 am to rt3
quote:
I'd say it's very, very interesting
Fair enough. I'm watching them too for those reasons. Just don't want folks getting too hung up on a model run over a week out.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:46 am to ForeverLSU02
ok so this GFS isn't putting it completely out to sea
Maine, New Brunswick & Nova Scotia would have to be on alert
Maine, New Brunswick & Nova Scotia would have to be on alert
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:48 am to Duke
quote:
Fair enough. I'm watching them too for those reasons. Just don't want folks getting too hung up on a model run over a week out.
I'm more interested in seeing which 1 will eventually yield to the other
ETA: and how far out that yield will start to come
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 11:49 am
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:50 am to rt3
here comes that 2nd storm
ETA: that 2nd storm could be something for the southeastern seaboard to watch for in the coming weeks
ETA: that 2nd storm could be something for the southeastern seaboard to watch for in the coming weeks
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 11:55 am
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:57 am to LSUsmartass
quote:
How are they able to map storm positions and intensities in the open ocean before satellites? Ship reports and island observations were sparse I'd imagine.
A lot of it is using existing data to "best guess" what was happening. May not be perfect, but probably pretty close
Posted on 8/31/17 at 12:46 pm to ksayetiger
Wild arse guesses at this point.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:34 pm to Jimmy2shoes
Irma looking stout:
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:40 pm to slackster
So should I be shitting my britches yet or what?
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:41 pm to slackster
Current Euro run putting it slightly more north from last runs so far
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 1:43 pm
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:43 pm to slackster
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:45 pm to ForeverLSU02
Euro was identical to previous runs up til this point, this one goes north of the islands... but it's no secret where this run is headed.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 1:46 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
Current Euro run putting it slightly more north from last runs so far
new Euro hasn't been loaded onto Tropical Tidbits yet
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