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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:03 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

BeeFense5


Nah bruh. He's not the one that needs a break.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Slack do you have the Aircraft recon link?




LINK
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:04 pm to
thanks
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7789 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:04 pm to
I will say this has been the longest thread I have ever read every page. I am thankful for the info in here and have learned a lot. I am still less confident than others until I see the movement- but as a guy with a masters in predictive analytics- I do love the models. This makes me wonder how they could be even better.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

the fact Humans don't know shite about how or why major storms do what they do.


Uh yeah they kinda do.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:05 pm to
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

I know by doing that it will never be wrong.
So if the thing goes to Mobile now the existing cone won't be wrong?

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

So you don't see that the modes went from it hitting the Carolinas to now hitting the panhandle? That's a HUGE difference.

Wouldn't surprise me at all if it does what Katrina did. Models thought that was going to go into the Atlantic too.




Posted by YogaPants
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
4704 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:07 pm to
LOL at folks thinking it's going to keep going to the west towards Mobile et al. Models have been basically spot on since early this week, and now the confidence in the models should be at an all time high due to the timeframe left
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:07 pm to
Irma is climbing in Latitude.

You are acting like its moving flat.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:07 pm to
quote:


Go follow Wild Thing over to the soccer board.
Forgivengator too.

He/she has gotten ridiculous.
Posted by CrimsonTideMD
Member since Dec 2010
7115 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Bye bye South Tampa. 8' in Tampa is gonna wreck some shite.


Not looking good for them

South Tampa floods with a heavy afternoon shower.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

How would we feel if they said this thing is going to hit destin... oh wait Biloxi.
What would the cone show?
Posted by Tiger Khan
Member since Oct 2009
2512 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

I also know my 3 year old could draw a cone from NC to Pensacola and be just as useful as these cones


The ravenous responses and arse clinching are from the true "wish-casters" that don't want this thing to come their way.


Posted by PhillipJFry
Member since Sep 2016
1056 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:10 pm to
Some webcams to pass the time with. Prob already posted but whatever.

St. Pete

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:10 pm to
Surge moving into Key West. Level up 0.8-1 ft.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

end up in the Big Bend area
Wasn't big bend within the cone days ago?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

If you don't see the chance that it could drive another 300 miles west before heading north after its already moved 150 miles past where they thought it would turn north... then I don't know what to tell you.




52 ensemble members of the greatest global model in the world say otherwise:

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:11 pm to
30ft waves!!!!!!!!!!! Near center!
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

If you don't see the chance that it could drive another 300 miles west before heading north after its already moved 150 miles past where they thought it would turn north
You want a wider cone projection??
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