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Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:01 pm to lsugolfredman
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 11:45 am
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:02 pm to shallowminded
Headed to the lake house and this stupid storm is going to follow me
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:02 pm to slackster
quote:
quote:
MULTIPLE OBSERVATIONS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IN ST. THOMAS...
Well damn
Thank the lord for the dry air it’s been fighting.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:04 pm to LewDawg
Same boat, trip to Amelia island cancelled due to the storm..
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:04 pm to lsutiger2010
Similar image of GFS ensemble as post above... I'll let one of the experts explain but it doesn't look good for the somewhere along the Northern gulf coast


Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:04 pm to lsutiger2010
200+ hours on those ensembles fantasy land. miles well have some going into mexico they have it everywhere else including cuba.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:08 pm to deuce985
Damn I am suppose to go to Miami in 9 days. What do you think are the chances I am going to need to cancel this?
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 1:10 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:09 pm to al_cajun
Looks like this thing is moving pretty fast
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:10 pm to urinetrouble
The GFS ensembles above look like they tightly pack to about 72 hours and then they disperse with disagreement past that. Just goes to show with a system like this how fast it can get erratic and their accuracy just significantly declines past a few days. Just an idea of possibilities on what it's seeing.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 1:12 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:11 pm to al_cajun
quote:
What do you think are the chances I am going to need to cancel this?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:12 pm to al_cajun
quote:
Damn I am suppose to go to Miami in 9 days. What do you think are the chances I am going to need to cancel this?
In 9 days this thing should be well past Florida
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:13 pm to deuce985
I don't see why anyone would really pay specific attention to the models past 3 or 4 days outside of "it might be in the general area, so keep an eye out".
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 20 miles (30 km) to the
north and east of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 80 miles (130 km) primarily to the east of the center.
An elevated weather station on Buck Island just south of St. Thomas
reported a sustained wind of 82 mph (132 km/h) and a gust of 111 mph
(178 km/h).
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:15 pm to GetCocky11
This system they change dramatically with every run too because there's lots of possibilities they're struggling with.
When these models all start to agree with each other and then the ensembles tighten up is when you should really start to pay hard attention to the targeted areas.
When these models all start to agree with each other and then the ensembles tighten up is when you should really start to pay hard attention to the targeted areas.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:15 pm to NorthEndZone
What are the chances this thing makes it to loosiana with more than just a little rain?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:16 pm to baldona
quote:
In 9 days this thing should be well past Florida
I guess I worded that poorly. What are the chances Miami takes a direct hit from a Cat 3 or so hurricane? I don't think Miami would be a fun place to go for a vacation 5 days after a hurricane hit.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 1:18 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:18 pm to al_cajun
It's possible? Some models are targeting the area. Can't say anything past that.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:19 pm to Duke
quote:
enters gulf near Tampa and turns into the Panhandle somewhere.
quote:
Destin
Posted on 8/28/19 at 1:19 pm to deuce985
Well buckle up, this is now the top story on cnn.com


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