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Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:51 pm to deltaland
...DORIAN BECOMES A HURRICANE NEAR ST. THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS... ...MULTIPLE OBSERVATIONS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IN ST. THOMAS...
2:00 PM AST Wed Aug 28
Location: 18.3°N 65.0°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
2:00 PM AST Wed Aug 28
Location: 18.3°N 65.0°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:51 pm to lsugolfredman
man frick the gfs. it wants to plant this thing near georgia carolinas in one run then next run it just wants to put one right up the pooper of new orleans. next run it will be flying into houston. GFS wishcasting shame shame.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:52 pm to deuce985
That isnt the gfs run. The actual 12z gfs is nothing like those ensembles
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:53 pm to rds dc
quote:
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People in this thread who know what any of this means: 1
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:53 pm to Cosmo
where are they getting the ensembles from then? did they change the model?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:54 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z HMON is way weaker
Hmon has been the weakest of the models for Dorian thus far, which is funny cause 2 years ago it always predicted a doomcane
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:54 pm to LSU82BILL
quote:
Well it depends on the health of their team and who the opponent is. If it's Chareleston Southern, nothing will atop that game from being played.
Their QB is terrible regardless of his health. I'd suggest they cancel the season.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:55 pm to Cosmo
That’s what I was looking at. How does the model show one thing and the ensembles look, for the most part, NOTHING like it?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:56 pm to lsuman25
quote:
MULTIPLE OBSERVATIONS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IN ST. THOMAS...
Well damn.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:56 pm to TigerStripes06
Because they tweak the model 20 different times and you get those results resulting in the ensemble.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:56 pm to League Champs
this storm is starting to look like worst case scenario every time. just keeps missing land interactions.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:56 pm to League Champs
This looks like it's going to ruin my weekend
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:57 pm to League Champs
The 12Z HWRF shifted to about where the AEMI is on that image. Comes out into the Gulf just above 28 degrees N.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:57 pm to slackster
Those are graphs showing spacetime in a wormhole
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:59 pm to Cosmo
I wonder how the grocery store lines are in Jacksonville right now.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:59 pm to deltaland
quote:
Hmon has been the weakest of the models for Dorian thus far, which is funny cause 2 years ago it always predicted a doomcane
an over-correction by the people who set its parameters, perhaps?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:59 pm to LewDawg
Why is that Lew?
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 1:00 pm
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