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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:37 pm to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42037 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:37 pm to
Interesting that this run of the Euro was more north to start out but took a harder turn and ended up south into the gulf. It's opposing the GFS with trends.



Posted by Drank
Member since Jun 1864
Member since Dec 2012
12122 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:39 pm to
Kind of frustrating that Norwegian is the only major cruise liner that hasn't announced itinerary changes for this storm. I just called and they still have us in port in Nassau Friday morning ....naw dog that ain't happnin'
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:41 pm to
it coming out near panhandle could be just as bad if it just lingers around plodding around the gulf. could dump tons of water on someone too if it moves slow/stalls with that proximity to land.
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4171 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:49 pm to
Labor Day sorta par for the course.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1612 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:51 pm to
The track will continue to shift West.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42037 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:51 pm to
IMO since the euro is showing the storm strengthening as it moves through the gulf, it has the tendency to push more poleward, rather than continuing along the ridge westward, hence the Florida coast skirting, due to latent heat release being greater along the northeastern quadrant of intensifying storms. On that same note, stronger storm = more of a poleward push, but since this storm is more compact, it doesn't drive into the ridge, like we would see with a larger, stronger storm (see angular momentum and it's impact on poleward tendencies)
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 1:53 pm
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16745 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

The track will continue to shift West.
or East, or north or south. Yes it will continue to shift.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61263 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:54 pm to
How do you know that?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112190 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

12Z UKMET- CAT 2 near Miami entering Gulf moving southwestward


I don't like the fricking sound of that at ALL

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42037 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:57 pm to
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129056 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

The track will continue to shift West.


Wishcasters coming in hot

And if the track had it going into mexico this guy would be saying it will shift east
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112190 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:58 pm to
Posted by agreenway6
SETX
Member since Aug 2017
819 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 1:58 pm to
He doesn't lol
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15749 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

The track will continue to shift West.


I'm ok with this
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:15 pm to
what you should look for is what the models are agreeing on and right now that's a more northern track on top of intensifying to some degree.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216037 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Thanks to this thread, Peej is, like Nash Roberts, officially on the clock.





Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42037 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

@zachbraff
2h
I’m coming.


This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 2:44 pm
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
63701 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

And when it gets closer to Florida everyone will say we’ll know more when it gets into the central gulf. And so on.



Yes bc as it so happens......we will, in fact, know more....
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100223 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:03 pm to
Oh boy
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Yes bc as it so happens......we will, in fact, know more....


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