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re: How can the weatherman be so wrong

Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:15 pm to
Posted by AlonsoWDC
Memphis, where it ain't Ten-a-Key
Member since Aug 2014
9387 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:15 pm to
They are not wrong 90% of the time you Mongoloid.

Try 10%.
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
26447 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:19 pm to
I disagree
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
12588 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:28 pm to
Perhaps it would help if you understood what 90% means. It means that 90% of the area is expect to receive rain. I think that most of BR experienced some rain. The WBRZ forecast on Friday was:

quote:

Today and Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms will push through the area on Friday—especially during the first half of the day. There is an outside shot that one or two thunderstorms could be strong, but overall, ingredients for severe weather are minimal. Despite clouds and rain, highs should still be able to climb into the mid 70s. Mostly cloudy skies will persist overnight with spotty showers and lows in the mid 60s. Up Next: Saturday brings a tricky forecast. Many forecast models suggest similarly to Friday that widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop. However, there does not seem to be any organized mechanism out there to cause such action. There will be a dissipated cold front in the region, so with some daytime warmth, scattered showers may breakout into the afternoon hours. Sunday seems to bring a better chance of rain and storms as the next cold front dives into the area. This one will be supported by a few more ingredients for severe storms, so we will need to keep an eye on that. A third front will finally kick through the region late Monday, effectively ending the unsettled stretch. Weekend highs will be in the 80s with lows in the 60s. By the middle of next week, temperatures will be closer to average.
\

WBRZ

I'd say that the forecast was both informative and accurate.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
13398 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

How can the weatherman be so wrong. They gave 90% rain all weekend and not one single drop they fricking suck.


They did just about the same thing last weekend.
Posted by TheChosenOne
Member since Dec 2005
18900 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:38 pm to
It’s science and science is never wrong
Posted by YNWA
Member since Nov 2015
7245 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 12:40 pm to
You need to follow the weather on an app. It changes all the time. A guy may say one thing in the morning about rain on the weekend but it will change by the evening. If you are still getting your weather/news from local TV then you are way behind the times.
Posted by HoustonGumbeauxGuy
Member since Jul 2011
33751 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 1:02 pm to
Their jobs are numbered. Weather is real time on phones and have radar.

TV Weathermen and radio DJs will not be around in 10 years. Book it.

This post was edited on 3/18/18 at 1:03 pm
Posted by OlGrandad
Member since Oct 2009
4698 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

TV Weathermen and radio DJs will not be around in 10 years. Book it.


They will probably end up at the CDC guessing what flu strain to include for the vaccine.
Posted by lsuwontonwrap
Member since Aug 2012
34147 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:00 pm to
No one on the OT has this problem. Lots of meteorologists here. They read their own radar and track their own hurricanes. And they're never wrong.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:06 pm to
From Friday thru today, I had about 2" of rain in lower Pointe Coupee. And yes, it rained every day.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

They gave 90% rain all weekend and not one single drop they fricking suck


Or you're confusing 90% with 100%?
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:14 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/18/18 at 3:21 pm
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
122527 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:35 pm to
I got rain, but not nearly as much as I thought.

It sort of fricked up my weekend because both days I didn't do what I planned because of the weather. While it rained a little bit today and have heard clashes of thunder now and then, it wasn't really stormed like the current weather keeps saying it is about to do. Since about 10AM it has been showing that there will be thunderstorms in my area.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:36 pm to
It rained about 2” in Zachary
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
40491 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 3:37 pm to
No they didn't. It was 60% but whatever fits your agenda..
Posted by DustyDinkleman
Here
Member since Feb 2012
20384 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

How can the weatherman be so wrong



How’s your NCAA bracket going? I bet you suck at predicting the future too.
Posted by biglego
San Francisco
Member since Nov 2007
85558 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 4:22 pm to
Weatherman is usually pretty accurate.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:44 pm to
Percentage (or likelihood) of precipitation does not infer quantitative amounts. A county warning area may have a 70 % chance for rainfall but that does not mean every single point in that area will receive rainfall nor does it play a higher amount of rainfall than say a 40 % chance.

Training of a band of thunderstorms may produce 2" of rainfall over one county in the forecast area where there may have only been 30 % coverage. Hence, a 30 % of rain would verify but 70 % of the area got nothing.

Also, During south la summer months, a typical 50 % chance of afternoon storms may occur at your home Every other day assuming similar atmospheric conditions.

50 percent would be scattered storms .

60/70 % likely

100 % (rarely used) widespread showers with storms used for tropical cyclones.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

They gave 90% rain all weekend and not one single drop they fricking suck


It rained both Saturday and Sunday.

Sounds like you don’t understand what 90% actually means.
Posted by DustyDinkleman
Here
Member since Feb 2012
20384 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

How can the weatherman be so wrong.


I'll never understand why people think meteorologists are forecasting for their back yard.


quote:

They gave 90% rain all weekend and not one single drop they fricking suck



This is a very simple-minded way to think about it.
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