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re: How bad will todays noon Corona numbers be?

Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:06 am to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Yeah I'm going with less deaths than yesterday



gotcha...you may be right
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Vents will be coming available as more deaths...

That presumes the rate of deaths exceeds the rate of people that require a ventilator. I don't think the current projections bear that out.
Posted by Coon
La 56 Southbound
Member since Feb 2005
18492 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:07 am to
6900 420
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:07 am to
quote:

438 of those on ventilators



does anyone know the % of the people that go on ventilators end up dying?
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10861 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:08 am to
quote:

whats the current rate of doubling


tough to say, the weekend numbers didnt seem right.

seems like we are a day ahead of the total case projection, two days behind total death projection

This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 11:09 am
Posted by LSUJML
BR
Member since May 2008
45347 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:10 am to
I think I read that a good majority die but there’s so much info & half is BS
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53769 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:10 am to
quote:

does anyone know the % of the people that go on ventilators end up dying?


I can’t remember the exact number, but it was very high.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:

I think I read that a good majority die


that what I was thinking
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
15547 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:

does anyone know the % of the people that go on ventilators end up dying


I've seen a lot of other regions around 50%. Might be worse for LA.
Posted by Grilled Bald Eagle
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
1069 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:13 am to
Roughly what I'm showing in my model right now as well.
Posted by lsu711
Member since Sep 2003
13043 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Based upon what I see with my own eyes on the rare occasions that I go out, our DGAF’s will cause us to fail. So selfish.

Everyone else also said their outing was a rare occasion.
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10861 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Might be worse for LA.


was on a webinar for Ochsner this morning and I thought I heard them say two things:

1) "New Orleans and Jefferson had some of the highest personal illness rates in the country prior to this virus"

2)... and this one I wasnt listening closely at the time ...

"ventilator densest equal death, people are coming off and recovering."

I perked up at this point listening for a percentage but none given
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53769 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Everyone else also said their outing was a rare occasion.


I don’t know what to tell you, buddy. I guess you either take my word for it, or don’t.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
27378 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Currently:
5237 positive
239 deaths
1,355 in hospital
438 of those on ventilators


Y'all do know those numbers are merely reported?

I know of three deaths last night at a hospital not reporting.

Two upper 80s one in 50s.
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10861 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Roughly what I'm showing in my model right now as well.


yeah I jumped one too many days ahead...6500 290 ish
Posted by J_Hingle
LA
Member since Jun 2013
5106 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:17 am to
quick question, I've had 2 people sent home from work because they were exposed to their significant other/children testing positive, should we still be open?
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45050 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:17 am to
Yeah I don’t believe a word JBE says
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10861 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

I know of three deaths last night at a hospital not reporting.


damn, why would they choose not to report?
Posted by Antonio Moss
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
48304 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:18 am to
I'm going to be optimistic and say we increase cases by 1050 and only increase deaths by 45.
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
15547 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:18 am to
+40 deaths
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