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re: Housing Prices: The Whole Country Is Starting to Look Like California

Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:29 pm to
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37400 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Austin is still very overpriced and out of reach for many buyers,


Thanks for admitting you were wrong
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
19108 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

We dont have a housing crisis. We have a crime crisis.

The problem is vast swaths of urban development are basically uninhabitable if you care about being safe. Fix that and the "housing crisis" is resolved.


I agree this is a huge piece of this, especially in major cities. There are massive sections of cities where the crime and homelessness are so bad, they are completely removed from the housing supply.

Posted by TigerBaitOohHaHa
Member since Jan 2023
1782 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Massive economic development and you could live 2 hours outside of major cities


Okay so the rail drops you off about 20 miles from the city center because the city is so densely populated and land is so expensive that you would have to tear down homes/buildings using eminent domain for billions of dollars (ruining the tax base in the process) to get the rail line terminus anywhere near a populated (walkable) area. Therefore if you commute, you have to take the rail and then call a $40 Uber to take you anywhere
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37400 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Okay so the rail drops you off about 20 miles from the city center because the city is so densely populated and land is so expensive that you would have to tear down homes/buildings using eminent domain for billions of dollars (ruining the tax base in the process) to get the rail line terminus anywhere near a populated (walkable) area. Therefore if you commute, you have to take the rail and then call a $40 Uber to take you anywhere


Have you never been to a big city? Jesus
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58018 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

“This is exactly what happened in many coastal cities in the 1980s and ’90s,” Armlovich told me. “Once you run out of room to sprawl, suddenly your zoning code starts becoming a real limitation.”


You mean when people flee high-cost areas en masse it creates more demand in the areas they flock to?

Well frick me runnin'... I'duh nevuh thawt uv dat.

Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35906 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Thanks for admitting you were wrong


You're having trouble keeping track of some pretty easy to digest points that I've made.

1) Plenty of affordable starter homes out there in tons of cities across America, for anyone who wants one

2) The correction is happening and the market always responds

Try to keep up.
Posted by Defenseiskey
Houston, TX
Member since Nov 2010
1759 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:35 pm to
Housing crisis is because too much of our job market is concentrated in about a dozen major Metropolitan areas. Either build more houses there or spread more jobs across the country.

I know some boomer on here will say "just move to Macon instead of Atlanta, its way cheaper, problem solved." A lot of us can't find jobs in our field area in towns like that. It doesn't work like that anymore.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35906 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

You mean when people flee high-cost areas en masse it creates more demand in the areas they flock to?


I've tried to make this point multiple times but it appears people are being intentionally obtuse because they have entitled, unrealistic expectations or just strongly desire being a victim.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
13524 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Or telecommute using high speed Internet.


The trend is back to office in person because Boomer and Gen X management can't change and can't tolerate the idea that someone is at home nursing a sick child and doing the same amount of work in 3 hours that they would do in 10 in person in the office. Telecommuting requires more monitoring of employee productivity and that is simply too much to ask of most people in management positions whose idea of attracting and keeping talent is to threaten them with unemployment for using the bathroom. The window was open during COVID....it has slammed shut for at least a generation because management was unable to tolerate the idea that they could not easily and with little or no effort keep their foot on the necks of their employees....
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35906 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Either build more houses there


Are you suggesting that homes and apartments are not going up like crazy in those cities? shite, I live in Charleston and people are bitching constantly about all the new apartments being built.

quote:

spread more jobs across the country.


Anyone is free to start a business in any city in America they'd like
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37400 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Plenty of affordable starter homes out there in tons of cities across America, for anyone who wants one


When factoring in the job markets in those cities, not really. A lot less than there used to be certainly.

quote:

Try to keep up.


I’m up to date with what you are saying just fine. You just usually aren’t this stupid so it’s a bit surprising
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
13524 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

I doubt it would "fix" housing prices, but having increasing tax rates for someone's second and even higher tax rate for third or forth home wouldn't hurt.
Also, Add 10-25% if you own a home and aren't a citizen.


There is already a precedent....homestead exemption. Homestead property taxes should be about what the school tax is and that is it. Any other property should be taxed at a much higher rate. Would be hard on renters but the offset is mobility associated with renting. The county I live in has a massive number of high value lake houses and they are taxed at about the same rate as primary residences when they are investment properties for the most part. We are building one ourselves. It will eventually be our retirement home and primary residence but that is several years from now.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
13524 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:43 pm to
quote:


We don't have a shortage of housing. We have a shortage of liveable areas. Large parts of major metro areas are completely off limits. Imagine how much the housing market would open up if a young white family just starting out in life could realistically buy a house on the south side of Chicago, for instance.

The president of El Salvador would have this problem fixed in a week.



Wow LOL. What about a young Hispanic family that aren't criminals, you know, the vast majority of Hispanics? Black folks are largely not criminals, do they count or should we El Salvador them all just to get the "bad ones".

Posted by TigerBaitOohHaHa
Member since Jan 2023
1782 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Have you never been to a big city? Jesus


Yes I live in one dipshit. Tell me how to connect fricking Houston center to anywhere? Dig underneath it? We have development sprawl an hour in every direction. The other cities I’ve been to (and lived in) Paris and London, have tunnels from a hundred years ago that they can tag on to their rail. High speed takes you to a subway terminal and you switch trains to get around the city. That is my entire point

Houston floods at least once a year. Sometimes two or three times. Running rail underground to the extent that would be required to connect to a high speed network is not even feasible
This post was edited on 7/1/25 at 1:50 pm
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50990 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

where she got the capital to do all that

This is why you go to business school to figure that out.
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
16624 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:50 pm to
When whites move out to the suburbs it is considered bad, and "urban flight aka white flight" and what can we do to stop it?.

When they move back it's considered "gentrification" and that is thought of as bad too and what can we do to stop it?

Can't win with some people.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37400 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

This is why you go to business school to figure that out.


You or one of her partners parents gave it to her

Which is great that you or they could afford to do that and they’re smart enough to deploy it. But no outside investor is giving a couple of 24 year olds money to invest in residential real estate. Not sure why you’d be so coy about that
This post was edited on 7/1/25 at 1:53 pm
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
13524 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:52 pm to
I have a fix for at least part of the problem and it works in some parts of the world. We should import ALL menial labor from other nations like Taiwan, the Phillipines and Africa. If, as we have been told, outsourcing manufacturing jobs to low wage locations has proven to be an economic boom for middle class America in that it got them out of shitty factories and into offices imagine what doing basically the same thing would do for truck drivers, electricians, plumbers and any blue collar trade type job???? It'd be great....no American would have to do that shitty work and the cost of everything would be akin to that $6 pack of 3 T-Shirts at Walmart made in Sri Lanka! It works in the middle east....the locals do not do any manual labor in Saudi Arabia or The UAE....we do it on a bunch of our military bases around the globe...it works perfectly. Of course it would mean a few carpenters would lose their job to Fillipino carpenters but overall the lower prices would eventually benefit the auto mechanic who lost her job. We have been told since the Reagan revolution that offshoring manufacturing was good for American workers because it reduced prices...it would certainly do the same thing if we imported all manual labor in this country....hell eerybody would have a 6 figure job in an air conditioned office....there is no down side and its all upside if it was good for middle class America with manufacturing....
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
16624 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 1:56 pm to
"West Hartford is like 20% higher COL than the national average"

Because you CAN get a good paying job there. It is more difficult to get a VP of Sales job for 250k in New Mexico than it is in Hartford. Not impossible of course. Plus you are a drive or train trip (too long to make daily but not weekly) from Providence, Boston, NY where your global HQ might be or the main HQ of your law firm.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
13524 posts
Posted on 7/1/25 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

Americans don’t want small homes, and that is the issue. They all want bigger homes even when it is just two people. Reality is that American consumerism has hit the housing market and aided in this too.



Americans don't want smaller houses but a big reason why is zoning and codes make building small impractical economically. First dirt is expensive if it is within a reasonable commuting distance which in 2025 means invading more rural areas adjacent to hubs of employment and those areas are now owned by people with multiple acres who aren't interested in selling at any price and will lobby their local building departments to prevent the construction of anything that will negatively impact their property values. The fact that most Americans main source of wealth is a pile of bricks that really isn't an investment but is instead a necessary evil that may appreciate in value over time and offset the cost of ownership is a major obstacle....if people had income enough to build true wealth outside of their primary residence they would not be so damned focus on maintaing the steep increase in that properties value but we do not live in that world.
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