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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/18/17 at 9:50 am to
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 9:50 am to
8/17/17 18z



8/18/17 00z



8/18/17 06z



8/18/17 12z
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42059 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 9:53 am to
Also Levi Cowan just made a new video and talks about how it could get into the Gulf and gain latitude. Also said it can just crash and burn in Central America. He basically said gonna be how it interacts with the big upper level low spinning into the Gulf now and how models have a hard time predicting those things and how storms interact with them.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 10:10 am to
The latest advisory is really starting to show a northerly turn

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42059 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 10:27 am to
Yea, obviously I won't panic at this moment just gonna watch it closely this weekend and get updates on here . I'm hoping by late Sunday we should know whether or not it will be a Gulf threat or not.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 10:43 am to
The advisory cone is pretty much following the recent model tracks. Just makes me nervous when you see the cone start making that turn. Hopefully the next advisory will have it continue NW
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 10:46 am to
quote:

just gonna watch it closely this weekend and get updates on here
I'm going to do the complete opposite and enjoy my weekend and hope that when Monday morning comes around this thing is headed to Mexico
Posted by TigerNlc
Chocolate City
Member since Jun 2006
32711 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 11:19 am to
Trees fricked, Harvey stacked.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 11:59 am to
Most recent CMC 12z run 6 days out:



Most recent CMC 12z run 7 days out:

Posted by SlapahoeTribe
Tiger Nation
Member since Jul 2012
12138 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

New tiger name is Harvey Coincidence? I think not.

Please let it make a hard right and frick up Florida.
Posted by bigrob385series
B. Aura
Member since May 2014
2634 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Yea, obviously I won't panic at this moment just gonna watch it closely this weekend and get updates on here
this.probably just go get some fuel and alcohol,which i was a little low on anyway
Posted by toni_the_tigress
Member since Aug 2017
120 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:23 pm to
I hope it goes into Central Texas - they need the rain.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20175 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Most recent CMC 12z run 6 days out:


3 named storms in those images, I'll vote against that

12z GFS basically kills it off in the Yucatan.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:27 pm to
What if I told you there were three named storms in that image and none of them hit the US.

This month on 30 for 30.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11989 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

how it interacts with the big upper level low spinning into the Gulf


That's one big ULL...

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42059 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 12:52 pm to
92L down to 60/60 on 2pm update
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52213 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 1:44 pm to
12z Euro currently keeps Harvey out of the GOM as it tracks along the Yucatan Peninsula

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11989 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 2:11 pm to
Hard to tell if it is leftover from Harvey or something else that spins up, but the 10-day shows a weak disturbance just off LA coast.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
122345 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 2:12 pm to
These new models arent much of an upgrade
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20175 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

12z Euro currently keeps Harvey out of the GOM as it tracks along the Yucatan Peninsula


Pretty similar to the GFS, not a bad combo at this point.

12z HWRF is NE of both the Euro & GFS

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42059 posts
Posted on 8/18/17 at 2:16 pm to
I think they will continue to struggle with that giant upper level low. But both Euro and GFS show a similar track so we will see.
This post was edited on 8/18/17 at 2:18 pm
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