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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:09 am to
Posted by Wedge
Corellia
Member since Oct 2010
880 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Lord jesus, they are forecasting 48 hrs to move from houston to beaumont.


corpus to houston...still pretty damn slow.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
85764 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Why do yall give him so much attention. Maybe if yall stopped he would stop too.



everyone knows he is jinxing folks on purpose but everyone plays along as though it makes a difference
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91268 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:12 am to
quote:

12z GFS is


Not good for the Corpus Christ area - at all. 84 hours between landfall and re-emergence over the GOM in basically the same spot.
Posted by gadknot
Reality
Member since Jul 2005
37306 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:12 am to
quote:

the NAM suggests it would be highly unlikely.


highly unlikely that it will affected or that i'll make it?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:13 am to
quote:


12z GFS is weaker and doesn't dig as much with that S/W. There is no weakness for Harvey to escape towards and the ridge builds back over the top forcing Harvey back to the SW. Still a huge amount of uncertainty.


By 144hrs on 12z GFS, Harvey is still SW of Houston. The 06z had Harvey well inland and moving into Alabama at that point.

ETA: Nearly 30" for Houston...
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 11:20 am
Posted by DWaginHTown
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2006
10168 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:14 am to
Will Jeffie Pants be weighing in on this storm or is it too far west for him to worry about?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18008 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:15 am to
Yeah looks like the gfs wants it to make a counterclockwise loop over south Texas before bringing it east.
Posted by rattlebucket
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
12522 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:16 am to
Yay going to houston sunday through tues....
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
72741 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:17 am to
At this point. I doubt it
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91268 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:19 am to
quote:

By 144hrs on 12z GFS, Harvey is still SW of Houston. The 06z had Harvey well inland and moving into Alabama at that point.


60 hours out.



150 hours out.



That's worst case scenario for Corpus to Houston. Jesus.
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8678 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:19 am to
CMC has it making landfall almost at Texas /Mexico border.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
111908 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:26 am to
I remember. Flooded the shite out of SELA
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:26 am to
Max output so far on 12z GFS is 50.4"
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53363 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Nearly 30" for Houston...


3 Tyrone's would be insane
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 11:28 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91268 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:27 am to
quote:

Max output so far on 12z GFS is 50.4"


Side note, where/how do you see the max totals?
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:27 am to
seems like a lot can change with it looking like we wont see major impact of this storm until next wed/thurs
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91268 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:32 am to
Total rainfall through 198 hours.



The scale only goes up to 24+ inches, but there are ares in there that are projected for 24 inches in 24 hours, so the totals are much higher.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18008 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:36 am to
Holy shite it's showing double 24-hour digit rains in Houston on next Tuesday and Wednesday... after getting "only" 6" to 10" over the weekend. frick......
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91268 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:36 am to
24"+ in 24 hours near El Campo, TX.

Only solace is this is 5 days out and hopefully much will change.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:42 am to
Boy these projections get worse and worse each day. This thing is going to hang around 2 weeks by the time it's all said and done.
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