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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:33 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:33 am to


Posted by Woopigsooie20
FREE HRV
Member since Mar 2010
60393 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:44 am to
It's not going through an EWRC, at least not yet.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32156 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:44 am to
quote:

it safe to say I will lose weight during the hurricane on my only Pop-Tart reserves or will my beer offset it?


I'm no nutritionist, but I've been mostly eating Pop Tarts and Wheat Thins and ham sandwiches for the last 3 months and I've lost 10+ lbs. No beer at all though.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:46 am to
So I just read the NWS had to add the purple rainfall category for this graphic. They didn't have one for 20+ inch predictions on tropical systems.

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:46 am to
Here we go.. HORRIBLE initialization. too far south and too weak.

This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 12:48 am
Posted by BigD45
The Boot!
Member since Feb 2007
2322 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:50 am to
I'm out here in Katy, TX. I just wanted to pop in and thank everyone for what you're doing in here! Thank you!

Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:53 am to
These are really some of the best threads on this site
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:55 am to
We made a post earlier on FB:

"It has been 4,322 days or 12 years since a major hurricane struck the United States. That unprecedented streak may end Friday if Harvey makes landfall as a Cat 3 with winds of 115 mph like the National Hurricane Center is now forecasting."

People commented with this:

quote:

FAKE NEWS!!! LIAR LIAR PANTS ON FIRE!!! Sandy was a cat 3 when she his the upper northeast in 2012. I'm assuming y'all meant 12 years since a major hurricane hit the gulf coast?


quote:

Gustav wasn't a major hurricane? I thought it was.


quote:

What was Sandy?


Seriously?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:57 am to
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:58 am to
The public, they are a fickle bunch.
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:58 am to
The news media totally exaggerated Sandy. It wasn't even a tropical storm.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:59 am to
We're getting it seems hourly updates now:

Hurricane Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
100 AM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE HARVEY STRENGTHENING...
...WINDS REACH 105 MPH...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 95.1W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Harvey was located
near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 95.1 West. Harvey is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed
during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Harvey will
approach the middle Texas coast later today and make landfall Friday
night or early Saturday. Harvey is then likely to stall near or
just inland of the middle Texas coast through the weekend.

Reports from Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunter planes indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165
km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible,
and Harvey is expected to become a major hurricane before it reaches
the middle Texas coast.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The latest minimum central pressure recently reported by both
reconnaissance planes was 967 mb (28.56 inches).
Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
16975 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 12:59 am to
Wasn't sandy a tropical storm? Super storm sandy arse strikes again
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:02 am to
Euro is running stronger and has shifted slightly to the north through 48 hours.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:03 am to
Posted by Woopigsooie20
FREE HRV
Member since Mar 2010
60393 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:04 am to
It was a post tropical system when it made landfall, but still had hurricane strength winds. It was a perfect storm just because of angle of approach with the storm surge.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:04 am to
quote:

Harvey is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed during the next couple of days.


This is why a Cat 4 is looking like almost a certainty and a Cat 5 isn't out of the question.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 1:05 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:05 am to
quote:

Wasn't sandy a tropical storm? Super storm sandy arse strikes again




Sandy was extratropical, but had winds of 80mph at landfall in the US.

quote:

About 2 1/2 hours later, Sandy made landfall near Brigantine, New Jersey,[32] with winds of 80 mph (130 km/h)
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:05 am to
Honest moment... I'm sick of deciding which qualifying adjectives/adverbs to use to describe shite. Like "slightly" or "significantly"... I'd rather say, "this shite is headed your way, or it might not, idk... and the models don't either".
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 1:05 am to
Not only was she extra-tropical, the winds weren't major status/
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