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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:40 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21523 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

Frick the HWRF run


Yep, not a good cycle from the hurricane models
Posted by METAL
Member since Nov 2020
2423 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:41 pm to
So north?
Posted by METAL
Member since Nov 2020
2423 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:42 pm to
Well Fook
Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
10068 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:42 pm to
Three drastically different runs

I like Option A the best






Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

Frick the HWRF run


Slight nudge east but notably 6 hours earlier with landfall than the 12z was.

HMON was a bit further east than the 12z and a decent bit stronger, as mentioned earlier.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15748 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:43 pm to
970mb over BR on the HWRF

frick that
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2210 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

specifically put all of that extra work off until tomorrow


If you wait until the last minute, it only takes one minute.
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15734 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:44 pm to
I like how Bon Weir is one of the cities of significance on that last map
Posted by VCeagle2013
Member since Apr 2013
333 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:45 pm to
HMON and HWRF 18z

Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:47 pm to
Would it be a bad idea to drive from BR to Houston early Wednesday morning? I’ll guess we’ll know more of the exact timing tomorrow
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

970mb over BR on the HWRF


Yeah that would truly suck
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:48 pm to
Last visible of the day shows a hot tower going up near the center
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50754 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

970mb over BR on the HWRF

frick that

I'm not seeing that on the HWRF 18z. I see it that low but more like over Billy's Boudin. Baton Rouge would be more like 988mb according to what I'm seeing. Is tidbits glitching again? Could someone please post what you're talking about?

Then 976mb over the Felicianas.
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:50 pm
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2210 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

Bon Weir


Big fan of his work

Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5053 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:50 pm to
If you like living in the wild side and think there’ll be no traffic, it shouldn’t be a problem. If you leave early in the morning
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15734 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:51 pm to
Like I couldn’t really tell where the storm was heading , but when I saw Bon Weir as a point of reference, everything clicked
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2210 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:52 pm to
Posted by NolaTiger52
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2018
2121 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:52 pm to
Is a Morgan City hit where I should be worried about Nola?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

Can someone post the hurricane thread bingo card please?


Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32257 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:53 pm to
I was told there would be no math
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