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Eastern Pacific's First Major Hurricane of '18: Category 4 Aletta, from TS to Cat 4 in 24

Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:21 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66996 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:21 pm
LINK

quote:

The Western Hemisphere’s first major hurricane of 2018 is the Eastern Pacific’s Hurricane Aletta. Aletta put on a remarkable display of rapid intensification overnight Thursday, with the winds increasing by 70 mph in just 24 hours. Aletta was merely a tropical storm with 70 mph winds at 11 am EDT Thursday, but by Friday at 11 am, the hurricane had morphed into a fierce Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds. This rapid intensification episode was not well-forecast; the official NHC intensity forecast made at 11 am EDT Thursday called for Aletta to peak with 100 mph winds


quote:

Fortunately, Aletta is located well south of the coast of Mexico, and will not cause any direct impacts to land areas, other than bringing high surf. 


Just goes to show how no tropical system needs to be treated lightly, nor can we fully rely on forecasts.

Certainly hoping we have a very minimal tropical weather season this year.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Just goes to show how no tropical system needs to be treated lightly, nor can we fully rely on forecasts.


The weather threads on this site have proven a gut feeling is the best thing to believe.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53973 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:23 pm to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132645 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:24 pm to
i feel in my gut this thing is gonna pull a 180, cross mexico, restrengthen and hit us.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
6206 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:26 pm to
Fire up the punta cana comments
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

i feel in my gut this thing is gonna pull a 180, cross mexico, restrengthen and hit us.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
110694 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

i feel in my gut this thing is gonna pull a 180, cross mexico, restrengthen and hit us.


Did you eat Peej?
Posted by Bluefin
The Banana Stand
Member since Apr 2011
13527 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds.




Someone get Peej on the phone.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

The weather threads on this site have proven a gut feeling is the best thing to believe.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21679 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Just goes to show how no tropical system needs to be treated lightly, nor can we fully rely on forecasts.


The initial advisory had a forecast max of 100 mph, then by the 9:00 am advisory yesterday morning they had lowered the projected max intensity to 85 mph. Less than 24 hrs later it was a roaring 140 mph!



There will probably be a second strong hurricane after this one in the EPAC. That should work to keep the Gulf shut down, despite what the GFS is doing. We'll know in the next couple of days if the GFS is on to something or not.
Posted by warlock1974
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2015
1842 posts
Posted on 6/8/18 at 2:15 pm to
An active Pacific is often accompanied by a milder Atlantic/Gulf.
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