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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Anybody else here stayed for Gustav? Holy shite it was like a bomb exploded.


Stayed where?
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Is the hurricane hitting New Orleans or what?


All data points to a direct hit on NOLA from the SW. please stay tuned though because things could change.

Posted by WHATDOINO
Member since Dec 2008
7047 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

advisory - Sunday 4pm - no landfall
#2 - Elmers Island
#3 - Point Aux Chene - 23 miles West
#4 - Dulac - 29 miles West
#5- Bayou Black - 14 miles West
#6- Bayou Delarge - 13 miles East
#7 - Morgan City - 20 miles West
#8 - Centerville - 21 miles West
#9 - Erath - 40 miles West
#10 - Jeanerette - 18 miles East
#11 - Delcambre - 15 miles West
Latest - Rockefeller Refuge - 40 miles West




Rocked you like a hurricane
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50623 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Why? It sucks.

Sarcasm, man. Poking fun at the pissing contest going on in here right now over who has experienced the worst hurricane conditions.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

We might have to count you to get over the 50 person hump. For now, you’re in. Coupled with the guy who found a way to be in Thibodaux for Betsy and New Orleans for Camille, that’s two of you.

Picayune for Katrina

WWL's studios for Gustav

WBRZ studio for Isaac
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:58 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

How long does it make it “sustained”?

10min? 60min? 2 hours?


A minute in the US. There are other ways to calculate it though.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78338 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Wind measuring has been standardized globally to reflect the winds at 10 metres (33 ft) above the Earth's surface, and the maximum sustained wind represents the highest average wind over either a one-minute (US) or ten-minute time span (see the definition, below), anywhere within the tropical cyclone.




wiki
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52373 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to
This will be my third damn storm this year. Was on vacation at South Padre when Hannah hit. Had the West eyewall of Laura just wipe our arse and now this fricker.
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Similar shift of approx 110 miles to the east was seen for Sally. Although I'm not of the time frame that shift occured over.


I know the new center line was in the original cone, but to frick up by 110 miles in just 48 hours seems to be really really shitty.
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6607 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

RIP Price's roast beef po-boys


Ain’t that the truth. Right up the street from my parents’ house.

Made one the other day on toast.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14788 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to
Storm Geo Update:

Key Points


1. We have nudged the final landfall point to west to south of White Lake, LA. 2. There is still a good bit of uncertainty about Delta's intensity at landfall.

Our Forecast

The center of Delta is now back over the water north of the Yucatan Peninsula, which has allowed a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft to investigate. On its first pass through the center, the plane found max sustained winds of 75 mph to 80 mph and a much higher pressure than prior to landfall. Delta has weakened to a Category 1 hurricane this afternoon. However, conditions in its path are favorable for strengthening over the next 24-36 hours, and it is quite possible that Delta strengthens back to a Category 3 hurricane with max sustained winds of 115 mph by tomorrow evening. Beyond then, Delta will begin encountering increasing wind shear as it moves over the slightly cooler water of the Continental Shelf. This should result in gradual weakening up until landfall Friday afternoon. Delta's winds could be as strong as 100 mph at landfall, though there remains a good deal of uncertainty in the landfall intensity. All dynamic model guidance continues to trend westward with Delta's final landfall on the Louisiana coast. We have adjusted the predicted landfall about 20 miles to the west of our 9 AM advisory Landfall is predicted to be south of White Lake, LA by 3 PM Friday afternoon. Delta will be tracking north-northeastward at over 15 mph when the center crosses the coast. This should prevent any extreme rainfall amounts across south Louisiana.

Expected Impacts On Land

Northern Gulf Coast There is a risk of widespread, long lasting power outages as well as significant wind damage within about 50 miles either side of Delta's path across Louisiana. Damage from tidal surge is also possible. Inland flooding could also occur due to heavy rainfall.

Expected Impacts Offshore

Central Gulf of Mexico The first squalls may reach the deepwater lease areas south of Louisiana by noon on Thursday, though they may not reach the waters offshore southeast Louisiana in the Mississippi Canyon area until Thursday evening. Outer squalls may reach as far west as the Alaminos Canyon and East Breaks leases Thursday afternoon, and the Galveston and High Island leases on Friday. The next advisory will be issued by 9 PM CDT. Meteorologist, Chris Hebert
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to
So 1 minute of 80mph wind classifies it as sustained winds?
Posted by ABucks11
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
1236 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

way too many people concern themselves with the center line only


I agree especially since the worst impacts are felt 20 miles west and 30-40 miles East of the line. I originally looked up the trends to show how accurate NHC has been.
Posted by Yaboylaroy
Member since Mar 2010
1846 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Berwick has a sustained wind of 96 mph, for reference.


Where did you find this data? I believe you, I’m curious about other storms.
Posted by bengalman
In da Country
Member since Feb 2007
4127 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to
Will the High Ridge over Florida stay in place for 48 hours.....
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30509 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

I'm so jealous of everyone here who has experienced hurricanes before.


It is not an experience to be savored
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

I bet less than 50 posters on the site had actually experienced sustained hurricane force winds


Oh no, why did you do that.

Count me in, Gustav in Houma.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
13114 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Anybody else here stayed for Gustav? Holy shite it was like a bomb exploded.


It did structural damage in parts of BR. I think maybe those were tornados that tore roofs off and damaged the wall at Copeland’s.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216451 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm to
Well anyone that posts here that went through Camille will be the winner.
Posted by thedrumdoctor
Gonzales,La
Member since Sep 2016
900 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm to
Gustav in Pierre Part, checking in.
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