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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to Baers Foot
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to Baers Foot
quote:
Anybody else here stayed for Gustav? Holy shite it was like a bomb exploded.
Stayed where?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to tigerNation09
quote:
Is the hurricane hitting New Orleans or what?
All data points to a direct hit on NOLA from the SW. please stay tuned though because things could change.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:53 pm to ABucks11
quote:
advisory - Sunday 4pm - no landfall
#2 - Elmers Island
#3 - Point Aux Chene - 23 miles West
#4 - Dulac - 29 miles West
#5- Bayou Black - 14 miles West
#6- Bayou Delarge - 13 miles East
#7 - Morgan City - 20 miles West
#8 - Centerville - 21 miles West
#9 - Erath - 40 miles West
#10 - Jeanerette - 18 miles East
#11 - Delcambre - 15 miles West
Latest - Rockefeller Refuge - 40 miles West
Rocked you like a hurricane
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to roguetiger15
quote:
Why? It sucks.
Sarcasm, man. Poking fun at the pissing contest going on in here right now over who has experienced the worst hurricane conditions.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to slackster
quote:
We might have to count you to get over the 50 person hump. For now, you’re in. Coupled with the guy who found a way to be in Thibodaux for Betsy and New Orleans for Camille, that’s two of you.
Picayune for Katrina
WWL's studios for Gustav
WBRZ studio for Isaac
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:58 pm
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:54 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
How long does it make it “sustained”?
10min? 60min? 2 hours?
A minute in the US. There are other ways to calculate it though.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Wind measuring has been standardized globally to reflect the winds at 10 metres (33 ft) above the Earth's surface, and the maximum sustained wind represents the highest average wind over either a one-minute (US) or ten-minute time span (see the definition, below), anywhere within the tropical cyclone.
wiki
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to rt3
This will be my third damn storm this year. Was on vacation at South Padre when Hannah hit. Had the West eyewall of Laura just wipe our arse and now this fricker.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to crazyLSUstudent
quote:
Similar shift of approx 110 miles to the east was seen for Sally. Although I'm not of the time frame that shift occured over.
I know the new center line was in the original cone, but to frick up by 110 miles in just 48 hours seems to be really really shitty.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:55 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
RIP Price's roast beef po-boys
Ain’t that the truth. Right up the street from my parents’ house.
Made one the other day on toast.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to rds dc
Storm Geo Update:
Key Points
1. We have nudged the final landfall point to west to south of White Lake, LA. 2. There is still a good bit of uncertainty about Delta's intensity at landfall.
Our Forecast
The center of Delta is now back over the water north of the Yucatan Peninsula, which has allowed a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft to investigate. On its first pass through the center, the plane found max sustained winds of 75 mph to 80 mph and a much higher pressure than prior to landfall. Delta has weakened to a Category 1 hurricane this afternoon. However, conditions in its path are favorable for strengthening over the next 24-36 hours, and it is quite possible that Delta strengthens back to a Category 3 hurricane with max sustained winds of 115 mph by tomorrow evening. Beyond then, Delta will begin encountering increasing wind shear as it moves over the slightly cooler water of the Continental Shelf. This should result in gradual weakening up until landfall Friday afternoon. Delta's winds could be as strong as 100 mph at landfall, though there remains a good deal of uncertainty in the landfall intensity. All dynamic model guidance continues to trend westward with Delta's final landfall on the Louisiana coast. We have adjusted the predicted landfall about 20 miles to the west of our 9 AM advisory Landfall is predicted to be south of White Lake, LA by 3 PM Friday afternoon. Delta will be tracking north-northeastward at over 15 mph when the center crosses the coast. This should prevent any extreme rainfall amounts across south Louisiana.
Expected Impacts On Land
Northern Gulf Coast There is a risk of widespread, long lasting power outages as well as significant wind damage within about 50 miles either side of Delta's path across Louisiana. Damage from tidal surge is also possible. Inland flooding could also occur due to heavy rainfall.
Expected Impacts Offshore
Central Gulf of Mexico The first squalls may reach the deepwater lease areas south of Louisiana by noon on Thursday, though they may not reach the waters offshore southeast Louisiana in the Mississippi Canyon area until Thursday evening. Outer squalls may reach as far west as the Alaminos Canyon and East Breaks leases Thursday afternoon, and the Galveston and High Island leases on Friday. The next advisory will be issued by 9 PM CDT. Meteorologist, Chris Hebert
Key Points
1. We have nudged the final landfall point to west to south of White Lake, LA. 2. There is still a good bit of uncertainty about Delta's intensity at landfall.
Our Forecast
The center of Delta is now back over the water north of the Yucatan Peninsula, which has allowed a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft to investigate. On its first pass through the center, the plane found max sustained winds of 75 mph to 80 mph and a much higher pressure than prior to landfall. Delta has weakened to a Category 1 hurricane this afternoon. However, conditions in its path are favorable for strengthening over the next 24-36 hours, and it is quite possible that Delta strengthens back to a Category 3 hurricane with max sustained winds of 115 mph by tomorrow evening. Beyond then, Delta will begin encountering increasing wind shear as it moves over the slightly cooler water of the Continental Shelf. This should result in gradual weakening up until landfall Friday afternoon. Delta's winds could be as strong as 100 mph at landfall, though there remains a good deal of uncertainty in the landfall intensity. All dynamic model guidance continues to trend westward with Delta's final landfall on the Louisiana coast. We have adjusted the predicted landfall about 20 miles to the west of our 9 AM advisory Landfall is predicted to be south of White Lake, LA by 3 PM Friday afternoon. Delta will be tracking north-northeastward at over 15 mph when the center crosses the coast. This should prevent any extreme rainfall amounts across south Louisiana.
Expected Impacts On Land
Northern Gulf Coast There is a risk of widespread, long lasting power outages as well as significant wind damage within about 50 miles either side of Delta's path across Louisiana. Damage from tidal surge is also possible. Inland flooding could also occur due to heavy rainfall.
Expected Impacts Offshore
Central Gulf of Mexico The first squalls may reach the deepwater lease areas south of Louisiana by noon on Thursday, though they may not reach the waters offshore southeast Louisiana in the Mississippi Canyon area until Thursday evening. Outer squalls may reach as far west as the Alaminos Canyon and East Breaks leases Thursday afternoon, and the Galveston and High Island leases on Friday. The next advisory will be issued by 9 PM CDT. Meteorologist, Chris Hebert
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to slackster
So 1 minute of 80mph wind classifies it as sustained winds?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to rt3
quote:
way too many people concern themselves with the center line only
I agree especially since the worst impacts are felt 20 miles west and 30-40 miles East of the line. I originally looked up the trends to show how accurate NHC has been.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to slackster
quote:
Berwick has a sustained wind of 96 mph, for reference.
Where did you find this data? I believe you, I’m curious about other storms.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:56 pm to tgrbaitn08
Will the High Ridge over Florida stay in place for 48 hours.....
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
I'm so jealous of everyone here who has experienced hurricanes before.
It is not an experience to be savored
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:57 pm to slackster
quote:
I bet less than 50 posters on the site had actually experienced sustained hurricane force winds
Oh no, why did you do that.
Count me in, Gustav in Houma.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:58 pm to Baers Foot
quote:
Anybody else here stayed for Gustav? Holy shite it was like a bomb exploded.
It did structural damage in parts of BR. I think maybe those were tornados that tore roofs off and damaged the wall at Copeland’s.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm to TDsngumbo
Well anyone that posts here that went through Camille will be the winner.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:59 pm to GEAUXmedic
Gustav in Pierre Part, checking in.
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