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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/4/20 at 2:30 pm to SlidellCajun
Posted on 10/4/20 at 2:30 pm to SlidellCajun
Dude, are you that lazy?
1
Posted on 10/4/20 at 2:53 pm to BigHoss
Cat 3 Vermilion Bay landfall
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:01 pm to purple18
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:06 pm to loogaroo
That seems like an unusually close grouping this far out.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:06 pm to purple18
quote:
Cat 3 Vermilion Bay landfall
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:17 pm to PurpleGoldTiger
quote:
That seems like an unusually close grouping this far out.
This setup isn't nearly as complicated as previous storms this season. If the models are going to hit on something this year, this may be their best chance.
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 3:18 pm
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:19 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
This setup isn't nearly as complicated as previous storms this season. If the models are going to hit on something this year, this may be their best chance.
Laura was pretty on point 5 days out
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:31 pm to rds dc
Pretty good agreement b/w the 12z Euro EPS and GEFS on 92L
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:41 pm to rds dc
I sincerely hope that Gulf Shores/Perdido Key as well as Lake Charles don't get hit again.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:47 pm to rds dc
NOLA is overdue
Latoyas last stand
Latoyas last stand
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:53 pm to rds dc
A lot of red in those ensembles too. Seems like every week for the past 2 months Louisiana has been in the crosshairs of a hurricane.
She will not be bullied by 92L
quote:
NOLA is overdue
Latoyas last stand
She will not be bullied by 92L
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:54 pm to rds dc
Pretty straight forward early on as 92L will round the ridge into the Gulf. There is a weak ULL over Mexico that could play a role in the future track and strength.
Models show this ULL drifting NE as the ridge tries to build in over the top of 92L. The ridge and ULL will set the edge for the eventual turn N and then NE. How far west does 92L get before the ULL starts to erode the edge of the ridge?
The 12z GFS eventually gets the ULL far enough NE to turn 92L north and this allows for it to get picked up by the zonal flow over the top.
Models can struggle with the track and strength of ULLs more than other features. A faster NE track of the ULL could introduce shear over the system earlier and keep it wearker. A slower or more western track for the ULL could allow 92L to get farther west into the Gulf and provide an outflow channel for 92L aiding in strengthening.
Models show this ULL drifting NE as the ridge tries to build in over the top of 92L. The ridge and ULL will set the edge for the eventual turn N and then NE. How far west does 92L get before the ULL starts to erode the edge of the ridge?
The 12z GFS eventually gets the ULL far enough NE to turn 92L north and this allows for it to get picked up by the zonal flow over the top.
Models can struggle with the track and strength of ULLs more than other features. A faster NE track of the ULL could introduce shear over the system earlier and keep it wearker. A slower or more western track for the ULL could allow 92L to get farther west into the Gulf and provide an outflow channel for 92L aiding in strengthening.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:56 pm to rds dc
MichaelScottNo.gif
Posted on 10/4/20 at 3:59 pm to rds dc
Start tracking how many H this thing moves every track.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:02 pm to deuce985
That bitch is hauling arse.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:02 pm to deuce985
Really?
Mother fricker.
Mother fricker.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:04 pm to rds dc
There shouldn’t be much windshield wiper action with the models on this one. Strength is the question.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:04 pm to rds dc
Bruh I just want to sleep. Can we just stick a pin in this and do it later?
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:07 pm to Duke
What are the SSTs in the central Gulf? Real units, not commie units.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:08 pm to loogaroo
They have it ramping up quite fast
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