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"Covid deaths are a lagging indicator"

Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:47 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164071 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:47 pm
Are they? People love to say that to reason with why Louisiana's deaths are staying suspiciously high. Hospitalizations and deaths in Arizona. The charts rise, peak, and fall at the exact same time. The deaths chart is slightly offset so it looks a little off but they both peak in the July 15-17 time frame.





Look at how Arizona's deaths have fallen off a cliff with their hospitalizations falling. What's the deal with Louisiana? Arizona is a little healthier.. ranked 30th while Louisiana is ranked 50th in one survey I saw. I'm sure Arizona also has a much better reporting system to get numbers in timely. I'm sure Louisiana is cooking the books, too.
This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 8:51 pm
Posted by dhTiger24
Monroe, La
Member since Aug 2010
168 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:48 pm to
This is clearly the data from Virginia.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164071 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

This is clearly the data from Virginia.


Arizona.. but okay
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
56170 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:50 pm to
Deaths are the lagging indicator for cases.

Not hospital checkins.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65533 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:51 pm to
I see your statistician is familiar with “Moon Patrol”...

quote:


This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 8:52 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
89832 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

Arizona.. but okay


Oh, Boat...
Posted by Bawcephus
Member since Jul 2018
2747 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

Arizona.. but okay


Not too bright, are ya baw?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164071 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

Deaths are the lagging indicator for cases.

Not hospital checkins.


Unlike in Arizona.. in Louisiana our hospitalizations are falling but deaths aren't.
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
56170 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:54 pm to
Cause we’re badasses and go out on our own terms.

frick a hospital. I’ll die at home surrounded by family.

Arizona is the land of the coddled.
This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 8:55 pm
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
6149 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:55 pm to
Shouldn't "case" and "death" curves be the same shape, yet just shifted 3 weeks or so?
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
56170 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:55 pm to
Hence his democratic charts.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164071 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:55 pm to
Another moral of this story is this shite is beyond over. It's falling off a cliff everywhere that had the big July spike.
Posted by philly444
stuck in contraflow
Member since Nov 2008
11346 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:56 pm to
We have more fatties

/thread
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164071 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

We have more fatties

/thread

Are they dying at home? Maybe being at home is why they're dying.
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
56170 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 8:58 pm to
But they continue to test more and find more cases to make decisions on.

Decisions should be made mostly on the basis of hospital capacity but they’re not.
Posted by PrimetimeDaBoss
Swag City, USA
Member since Oct 2008
7144 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

The Boat

This.
Posted by X82ndTiger
USA
Member since Sep 2004
2464 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:02 pm to
Great, another Covid thread.
Posted by btr08ex
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2014
453 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

Hospitalizations and deaths in Arizona.


I'm trying to understand, but this isn't even a sentence.
Posted by BayouWrangler
Member since Feb 2011
1231 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:19 pm to
Daily cases vs daily deaths

This chart blows my mind. There does not appear to be any appreciable correlation between the two datasets for the worldwide data. Also works if drilled down to just US.
Posted by tigeralum06
Member since Oct 2007
2788 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:54 pm to
Because people in LA are taking one for the team to make sure we have football this fall.
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