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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Round 2

Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:31 am to
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70576 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:31 am to
quote:

No clue. That was nearly 18 years ago.


Well that’s depressing.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73803 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Lows near 10 and highs below freezing for 2-3 days straight

eff that !
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133627 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Someone posted some studies from entomologist, also used Alaska as an example, which has tons of mosquitoes
Yeah, but south Louisiana mosquitoes don't wear Gor-tex.....
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146397 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:32 am to
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24744 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:34 am to
How come my weather app, nor the local news (that I know of anyway) aren't reporting anything close to this?
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12960 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:35 am to
What weather app are you using?

Accuweather was showing 8 as the low for Monday in Ville Platte; currently showing 13.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12960 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:36 am to
I like that -0 on the Kansas/Missouri border...lmao!
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:38 am to
quote:

How come my weather app, nor the local news (that I know of anyway) aren't reporting anything close to this?



Because they are wisely erring toward historical norms and only one model at this point is coming in ridiculously cold, but the Euro doesn't seem to agree on the pattern with everyone else either. So there's good reason to play conservative right now.

The details are still very much in question. The picture will clear up, as always, as we get a day or two away from the artic blast.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146397 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:39 am to
quote:

How come my weather app, nor the local news (that I know of anyway) aren't reporting anything close to this?

1 model does not a forecast make
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24744 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:41 am to
quote:

What weather app are you using


The weather channel I believe.

Not questioning the weather experts here. I get 90% of my weather info from these guys on the major systems when they post them.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77806 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:43 am to
Any updates on Orlando forecast for Citrus Bowl? And if it’s rain, is it going to be a lot or intermittent?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87204 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:45 am to
I'd rather know the Orlando forecast for the 6 days after the Citrus bowl...
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:48 am to
Looking at our NWS office, they're basically stuck blending the Euro model and GFS model until there's more certainty between them. The details and evolution are still very uncertain. The public mets and NWS have to play this pretty close to the vest with the immense degree of uncertainty.

In short, have an idea of what you need to do in the case of extreme cold with ice on the roads and potentially no power. That's worst case but possible. Otherwise, just keep an eye on things over the next few days and hope we don't get freezing rain followed by days of below freezing at new years.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:53 am to
If this system comes through South La NYE, are we looking at widespread road closures NYD?
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24744 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:53 am to
quote:


In short, have an idea of what you need to do in the case of extreme cold with ice on the roads and potentially no power. That's worst case but possible. Otherwise, just keep an eye on things over the next few days and hope we don't get freezing rain followed by days of below freezing at new years


At this point I'm prepared for the worst. PJ already said there was no way we will have freezing temperatures for 3 days. So that means I'll have ice hanging from my balls for a minimum of 3 days, and will drive to work on a 6 inch layer of ice. What the models and TD experts think at this point is pretty much irrelevant.
This post was edited on 12/27/17 at 10:54 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 10:57 am to
quote:

If this system comes through South La NYE, are we looking at widespread road closures NYD?


The wrench is the potential for ice proceeding the deep freeze for NYD. That case, south Louisiana is basically shut down road wise. The bridges certainly would be a slick nightmare.

No precip and just cold, well that's a lot more manageable. A really deep cold snap will be dry and allow moisture to evaporate. So we'd likely just have spotty bridge problems and drivable roads.

As is normally the case, north and west of the lake is at a much greater risk of serious cold and potential freezing rain. Not going to know much more until Friday and Saturday.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 11:01 am to
Im just wondering as people go leave Friday for they NYE destinations/celebrations should expect to be stranded come Monday when it's time to head home?
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8951 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 11:05 am to
My guess is if there is precip, the roads and bridges will be icy NYD morning to midday. Once the ice melts (temps mid 30s above freezing) it'll be safe to drive for a few hours in the afternoon before everything refreezes at night again. Just a guess...
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Im just wondering as people go leave Friday for they NYE destinations/celebrations should expect to be stranded come Monday when it's time to head home?




Have a plan in mind for the possibility but right now no one can really say with certainty if the worst will play out.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70576 posts
Posted on 12/27/17 at 11:23 am to
My current plan is to go to Picayune the 31st-2nd. Leave early on the 2nd and head back to Houston. I sort of need to be back so I will be watching closely.
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