Amite is rising a bit faster than anticipated in Livingston

Not totally sure but I think it actual is just a smidgin above anticipated.

I think the automated gauges post in real time to the website graph.
I believe the forecast part of the graphs are compiled based on current and (short term) projected rainfall. Therefore updated less often --few hours lag.

This is based solely on the observations of someone who checks those gauges rather obsessively since the events of 2016.

Hopefully RDS or Duke or some other forecaster can shed insider insight.

That spike is from the cell that came through about 3am. It dropped alot of rain

They're both updated every 15 min

I hope this doesn’t jack up this memorial I have to go to Tuesday...

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That spike is from the cell that came through about 3am. It dropped alot of rain

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Good point!

Interesting. That’s just a few miles north of PV. It’ll be interesting to see where it ends up cresting and like I said, I’m betting some folks end up getting surprised.

Having watched these gauges all the time growing up I compare current rate of increase to the projected crest. I hate to say this but I use math and look basically at the rate of change and create my own estimates. Weather service does a nice job but the rainfall amount projections and where they specifically drop the rain are highly variable.

I am saying that the rate of increase was faster than expected. If you basically create an algorithm that shows the decreasing rate of increasing water level you can calculate the new projected high yourself. So for example in the last hour it went up 0.12 vs the 0.15 the previous hour. That means it went up 80% of the prior hour. I would project the next hour it would go up at most 80% of 0.12 or basically increasing 0.096. Then take 80% of that the following hour and it is 0.08. So by 11:15am I would think it is close to 7.88 feet. Looking at the gauge upstream if it has crested or near then that means the rate of change would slow further.