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re: .00713% of people around the world have tested positive for coronavirus
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:02 am to SoFla Tideroller
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:02 am to SoFla Tideroller
The Gateway Pundit? When did the OT become the Political board.
The funny part is you're still wrong and don't even know it. I said H1N1 has a .02% mortality rate, which it does.
Your obviously partisan link says that Covid may be closer to the .1% rate of severe seasonal influenza than 9% or 36%.
So, no s**t, Sherlock. The post about 10x or 20x vs H1N1 leaves you with .2 to .4% mortality rate, which is much closer to .1% than 9%.
Your own link says exactly what I said and you don't even understand that.
The funny part is you're still wrong and don't even know it. I said H1N1 has a .02% mortality rate, which it does.
Your obviously partisan link says that Covid may be closer to the .1% rate of severe seasonal influenza than 9% or 36%.
So, no s**t, Sherlock. The post about 10x or 20x vs H1N1 leaves you with .2 to .4% mortality rate, which is much closer to .1% than 9%.
Your own link says exactly what I said and you don't even understand that.
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 10:12 am
1
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:13 am to Aubie Spr96
quote:
538 in Alabama. Out of 4.888 million people, that’s .011% of the total population. We’ve had 3 deaths which means a mortality rate of less than 1%.
You can't make that conclusion from the data you have for two reasons:
1. deaths lag behind positive tests in most cases so that skews the mortality rate down until the period where everyone is either recovered or dead
2. unless or until you have a blanket test of a large enough representative sample of the population to determine the percentage of people who were infected but were asymptomatic you can't estimate the real infection rate of the population, this skews the mortality rate up
There is very little statistically significant conclusions we can make with the general info provided by sites like worldometers.
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 10:15 am
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:14 am to Rep520
And that rate is worthy of decimating our country's economy?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:15 am to Proximo
quote:
We aren’t testing every person dumb frick. What is the point of this thread
And OP caught his first fish
Only the SICKEST are being tested, which means if you have it and arent sick, then there are still only .000713% that even needed treatment of any kind for this epic global killer
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:16 am to greenwave
quote:
Has everyone in the world been tested? Until then we will not have an accurate stat base. So these threads are pointless. That goes for both sides of the argument.
Another one hooked
OP you might catch your limit soon
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:21 am to Prominentwon
quote:
There’s at least 10-20 threads a day making sure we all know that this is all a hoax and no one is sick and the government is doing this just to collapse the economy.
Meanwhile, this 247 writer and his wife and 5 year old is in on the hoax.
Posters will downvote this b/c it's anecdotal. Then they will post a different anecdotal story about someone that tested positive and has mild symptoms to bolster their arguments.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:23 am to thadcastle
Coronavirus is saving lives actually. With way less people driving, the 3,500 people who die in car accidents daily is way lower.
How bout those facts for ya!
How bout those facts for ya!
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:24 am to SoFla Tideroller
quote:
And that rate is worthy of decimating our country's economy?
So first, you're gonna move the goalposts away from how your own link showed you were wrong after you accused me of making **** up? Ok.
I get a feeling this response will be lost, but:
Figuring out whether this is a correct response isn't just mortality. One of the issues with Covid is it's a novel virus.
The issue that poses is people with Covid will be new burdens on a healthcare system that's already close to capacity. That systemic cost is an issue.
Next, the hope with isolation is to keep it up for long enough that we don't have rebound spikes. Even from a purely economic perspective, rebound spikes will trigger new pressure for isolation and shutdowns, which can prolong the economic slowdown.
Finally, how do you measure death? Not only old people die, and real families lose people to Covid. I think a good economy matters, but human life does too.
Bottom line, this is a balancing situation. Balancing tests don't usually have black and white right/wrong answers.
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