Looking at next week (draft position)

quote:

---

Bears are a 9.5-pt dog

---

are the packers playing for anything? packers cant win the division and secured a wild card spot.

quote:

---

Jaguars are a 4.5-pt dog

---

they can definitely beat the colts.

Suntiger posted this in another thread when I asked the same question:

quote:

---

According to Tankathon, the highest we can go is 8 and the lowest we can go is 10th.

To get to 8th we need the Bears to beat the Packers in Green Bay and the Raiders to beat the Chargers. And we would have to lose next week.

1. New England Patriots: 3-13 record; .465 SOS
2. Tennessee Titans: 3-13; .509 SOS
3. New York Giants: 3-13; .551 SOS
4. Cleveland Browns: 3-12; .537 SOS
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 4-12; .472 SOS
6. New York Jets: 4-12; .496 SOS
7. Carolina Panthers: 4-12; .498 SOS
8. Las Vegas Raiders: 4-12; .546 SOS
9. Chicago Bears: 4-12; .553 SOS
10. New Orleans Saints: 5-11; .513 SOS
11. San Francisco 49ers: 6-9; .563 SOS

---

quote:

---

Not sure about any of the tie breakers except raiders.

---

I thought the head to head was a no brainer but apparently SOS is the first determining factor

quote:

---

In situations where teams finished the previous season with identical records, the determination of draft position is decided by strength of schedule — the aggregate winning percentage of a team’s opponents. The team that played the schedule with the lowest winning percentage will be awarded the higher pick.


If the teams have the same strength of schedule, division or conference tiebreakers are applied. If the divisional or conference tiebreakers are not applicable, or ties still exist between teams of different conferences, ties will be broken the following tie-breaking method:

Head-to-head, if applicable
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (minimum of four)
Strength of victory in all games
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed in all games
Best net points in all games
Best net touchdowns in all games
Coin toss

---

Here is the

5. Jacksonville SOS .472

6. Carolina SOS .496

7. NY Jets SOS .502

8. Las Vegas SOS .544

9. Chicago SOS .554

10. New Orleans SOS .507

11. San Francisco SOS .565

I think if Chicago and Vegas win they will pass us based on SOS. The Jets may pass us if everything goes right but I think that is iffy at best. The irony here is if the Panthers beat us that actually helps our SOS and hurts theirs. If everything goes right, the Saints' SOS only drops to .505. One reason is all the NFC South and NFC East teams play each other as do the Chiefs & Broncos so 1 win and 1 loss offset each other and only minimally affect the SOS.

So I think best case the Saint pick at #8 and worst case they pick right where they are at #10 though I think #9 is a possibility.

Best draft we've had we picked 11th. Maybe we can catch lightning in a bottle again

Blocking that fricking fieldgoal likely dropped us from top 5 to #10. Hope it was worth it.

Yeah, I have. He's still the same guy that was 3rd in the sec in receiving in 2023 behind nabors and legette. He's projected right around where we'll pick, and we desperately need a wr. I'd prefer the Arizona guy, but he'll be gone

Tre Harris would be a good guy later on to get if we go LOS at 10

Huh? We’ve picked much higher than that before, multiple times.