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re: When do we start having the conversation about trading Zion?

Posted on 3/24/23 at 9:50 am to
Posted by Ancient Astronaut
Member since May 2015
36223 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 9:50 am to
You wait it out at this point.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Why would you trade a guy giving you an efficient 27/7/4.5 for a starter and couple of 1sts?


because a nice 6 or 7 game run including a couple play in wins and say a 2w-4L 6 game series loss to memphis is not convincing me to run him back 23-24 season.

as for the starter and 2 1s and a swap that's a fair deal for the buyer getting a coin flip if zion plays 60 games any season the seasons he's under current deal.
I feel like you are discounting the word starter. you use COUPLE OF FIRSTS like its garbage.
dump Griffith. maybe the next gm picks a rabbit from the hat.
no ones perfect but with 2 extra firsts and a swap you get a shot at least.
it looks better to me than more zion.
This post was edited on 3/24/23 at 10:04 am
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:00 am to
quote:

as for the starter and 2 1s and a swap that's a fair deal for the buyer getting a coin flip if zion plays 60 games any season the seasons he's under current deal.
You'd rather trade a generational talent with a 50/50 chance of being healthy for a starter and couple of 1sts to add to our very bad team?


The coin toss is easily the much, much better option in your scenario. In 1, your team is toast, done. In the other, you have a 50/50 shot at success.


quote:

I feel like you are discounting the word starter.
What do you mean by that? I hope you're not suggesting a really good starter.
This post was edited on 3/24/23 at 10:01 am
Posted by MizunoDude
Member since May 2020
987 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:13 am to
He will never have a full, healthy season.....
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:14 am to
quote:

He will never have a full, healthy season.....
You mean another full, healthy season?
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10393 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:15 am to
quote:

A friend of mine bought a top-of-the-line Mercedes Benz and his family went around bragging about what they had...weird thing though, it stayed parked in the garage.
After a few years of remaining intact in the garage, it was apparent that the Benz was just there as a "feel-good" thing. But why would they continue owning something so great but never actually getting its' intended from it?
GET THE POINT?


helluva story there, lad
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
10768 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:15 am to
quote:

with a 50/50 chance


Where are you pulling that %?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Where are you pulling that %?

I pulled it from the poster I replied to
Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1457 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 10:54 am to
What we should be doing is fixing all of the non Zion issues, and doing everything we can to ensure Zion stays healthy. The fact that Zion can’t miss a game without the team losing 13 in a row should be the glaring and obvious issue. The fact that we allowed Zion to rush back right before the all star break with a hamstring issue should be grounds for heads to roll. We have coaching issues, no PG, limited shooting and quality bigs. There isn’t a backup PF on the roster.

We’re relying so much on Zion to carry us, I’m surprised he doesn’t have back issues as well.

I’m as frustrated as anyone about Zion not playing, I get it. But only an idiot would intentionally trade away Zion freaking Williamson.
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38282 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Even if he's healthy 25% of the time(1 season out of 4) that 1 season is over much higher chance for us to do real winning than if we trade him.

So we should not trade him.


I don't think we should trade him but this is a really bad way to look at it. It's not like you're getting to pay him 25% of his salary. As a fan I'd rather be a good team (which you would most likely be given the assets you'd get) without a chance of making the finals each year than one year maybe being good enough to make the finals and three years of misery complaining about a max player playing one out of four years.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
19952 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:12 am to
IF Detroit gets a Top 3, dump him and move on.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:16 am to
quote:

It's not like you're getting to pay him 25% of his salary.
But it beats paying the same salry to other guys where you absolutely know you won't be very good and have no hope. So paying a guy for the 25% chance is better IMO.

quote:

As a fan I'd rather be a good team (which you would most likely be given the assets you'd get)
How? We are not a good team without Zion. If we're being honest with ourselves, we are closer to a bottom 5 team than just an average team without Zion. The last 2 years worth of sample size tells us that.

If Zion has enough value to add enough dudes to turn us from a shite team to a good team, then he has enough value to do that for our team too.
quote:

without a chance of making the finals each year than one year maybe being good enough to make the finals and three years of misery complaining about a max player playing one out of four years.
I'll take 1 year with a chance and 3 miserable years any day over 4 below average years with zero chance
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38282 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:29 am to
I don't get why you're assuming we'd be bad. Does this hypothetical not include us getting anything in return for Zion? We would be a better team than we are right now.

What star would be realistic? Just throwing out a random guy like Jimmy Butler. This team would be super fun to watch with Butler on it, plus you'd have presumably one or more first round picks coming in and the young guys we have right now continuing to develop. That team would give anybody hell and who knows where they would be by the end of that four year stretch.

Edit: You have pretty much seen the exact scenario you are wanting btw
This post was edited on 3/24/23 at 11:34 am
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
19261 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:37 am to
No
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 11:43 am to
quote:

I don't get why you're assuming we'd be bad
36-46 last season, 13-23 since Zion got hurt.

What evidence do you have that we're anything other than a fringe bottom 5 team without Zion?
quote:

Does this hypothetical not include us getting anything in return for Zion?
If Zion is valuable enough to get a huge return, why in the world would you trade a player that good?

You can't argue we should trade because he never plays, but let's trade him for a huge haul, that doesn't make sense. If you truly believe he can't ever get on the court, other teams would know that too, so they aren't going to give you much for him.

quote:

Edit: You have pretty much seen the exact scenario you are wanting btw
I don't know what scenario you're mentioning but the scenario of this team without Zion is bad, we are a terrible team without him.
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38282 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

36-46 last season, 13-23 since Zion got hurt.

What evidence do you have that we're anything other than a fringe bottom 5 team without Zion?


Pretty simple, because we aren't giving him away for free. You keep making it seem like our record would be the same after the trade. If you can't even concede that this steam would be better than what we are without Zion after you add what we get in trade then this is stupid and there's no point in even talking about it.

quote:

You can't argue we should trade because he never plays, but let's trade him for a huge haul, that doesn't make sense


This is a hypothetical. In my hypothetical we got Jimmy Butler and a 1st (I'm perfectly fine listening to another player/pick scenario). In your hypothetical we get nothing and the team is the exact same as they are now. I'm not saying we get a haul for him or peak value, but we would still get something good.

quote:

I don't know what scenario you're mentioning but the scenario of this team without Zion is bad, we are a terrible team without him.



Meaning that you said you'd take Zion for 25% of four seasons. We have had Zion play for about 30%(ish) of four seasons, better than your scenario, and look what it's gotten us.
This post was edited on 3/24/23 at 12:14 pm
Posted by MizunoDude
Member since May 2020
987 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 12:22 pm to
when did he ever have a full healthy season?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Pretty simple, because we aren't giving him away for free.
I don't think you're getting what you think
quote:

You keep making it seem like our record would be the same after the trade. If you can't even concede that this steam would be better than what we are without Zion after you add what we get in trade then this is stupid and there's no point in even talking about it.
How much better is the question?

We are the equivalent of a sub 30 win team this season since Zion went down. Do you realize how good a player has to be to make a team THAT bad become a good team? Whoever that guy is, he will not be traded for Zion. We can't do the "he never plays, trade him" thing while also assuming you can get a huge haul for him. That doesn't make sense.

Also, you're not factoring that we wouldn't have been 23-12 with whoever this mythical person is we trade for. So sure, maybe they turn that 13-23 into something like 18-18, but that 23-12 is also going to be worse, so back to my original question, how much better can this trade make a bottom 5 ish team?

quote:

I'm not saying we get a haul for him or peak value, but we would still get something good.
I don't see a scenario where we get a player or players that can take us from bottom 5 ish to good. I just don't see it. But again, if Zion is THAT valuable, then we should keep him because he can be that valuable or good for us. We're gonna go in circles here, but if you think Zion will just always be hurt and let's get rid of him, that's basically dumping him. You're not getting a good return for dumping an injured dude.
quote:

Meaning that you said you'd take Zion for 25% of four seasons. We have had Zion play for about 30%(ish) of four seasons, better than your scenario, and look what it's gotten us.
Again, if you think Zion gives a team no chance to win, why do you think he'll get a return of good player and 1st round picks?

It just doesn't make sense.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112428 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

when did he ever have a full healthy season?

Year 2, weird that you didn't know that


Posted by MizunoDude
Member since May 2020
987 posts
Posted on 3/24/23 at 12:24 pm to
Let me help: All of what you said makes a good point. Now imagine, the reason that friend keeps that high dollar luxury car garaged is that, every time he takes it out to use as intended, it breaks and sits for months on end....all the while costing the owner millions of dollars and depreciating in value every year.
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