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Why do we consider such narrow scenarios for the CFP?
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:03 pm
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:03 pm
The sportscasters use such narrow assumptions on who gets in the fourth spot when there is so much more mayhem that can happen this season.
OSU, Clemson, LSU could all lose in championship games (or before then) and the entire situation gets reset.
If Minnesota beats OSU and is a one loss BIG champion....are they really going to be left out?
LSU loses to UGA in the SEC championship...they would only drop as low as #4 with the overall body of work, right?
Clemson loses to VA Tech...they are toast and creates another spot in the top four.
Baylor beats OU giving them 3-4 top 25 wins on the year. Very possible to see them find a way into the top 4.
In short, there are a lot more possibilities for the playoff than are getting air time.
OSU, Clemson, LSU could all lose in championship games (or before then) and the entire situation gets reset.
If Minnesota beats OSU and is a one loss BIG champion....are they really going to be left out?
LSU loses to UGA in the SEC championship...they would only drop as low as #4 with the overall body of work, right?
Clemson loses to VA Tech...they are toast and creates another spot in the top four.
Baylor beats OU giving them 3-4 top 25 wins on the year. Very possible to see them find a way into the top 4.
In short, there are a lot more possibilities for the playoff than are getting air time.
7
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:05 pm to lynxcat
It's just for discussion
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:06 pm to lynxcat
That’s because big championship weekend upsets haven’t happened since the CFP started.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:08 pm to The Boat
Do we actually believe that historical tidbit has any predictive power?
Minnesota and OSU is going to be as much of a play-in game as UGA/LSU.
Minnesota and OSU is going to be as much of a play-in game as UGA/LSU.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:11 pm to lynxcat
The later it gets in the season, the more we are dealing with teams who have proven themselves as one of the best, who are less likely to falter because we have more of a sample size
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:12 pm to chalmetteowl
Except a lot of the best matchups of the year happen in the last 2-3 weekends of the year. When top teams are playing, even the favored teams are only 60-80% likelihood to win.
This post was edited on 11/27/19 at 6:15 pm
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:16 pm to lynxcat
Honestly, I think too much is made of hypotheticals and such. Maybe it’s just me, but I prefer to talk about the matchups and games taking place rather than trying to project what next week’s rankings will look like.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 6:48 pm to lynxcat
I mean nothing really matters besides Alabama making it again being still the only program to make the most important event in college football every single year
Posted on 11/27/19 at 8:42 pm to lynxcat
quote:
LSU loses to UGA in the SEC championship...they would only drop as low as #4 with the overall body of work, right?
Not so fast. I'll put my money that the only way a one loss LSU makes it in is if that one loss is a close one to A&M. The playoff committee is going to use Championship weekend as a de facto 1st round. LSU loses and they are out being dropped to 5.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 8:54 pm to TigerFanatic99
Bama won’t be at #4 in front of LSU assuming a UGA loss. That would be a pitchfork event.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 10:05 pm to lynxcat
I was talking about this with my dad earlier today.
Scenario:
Minnesota wins out
LSU beats AM and loses to UGA
Clemson wins out
Who makes it in?
1. Clemson
2. UGA
3. Minn?
4.
OSU/LSU/Alabama(out)/Utah/OU or Baylor
Assume all of the games are close so no one gets eliminated because of a blowout.
I honestly have no idea who would be in after Clemson and Georgia.
Scenario:
Minnesota wins out
LSU beats AM and loses to UGA
Clemson wins out
Who makes it in?
1. Clemson
2. UGA
3. Minn?
4.
OSU/LSU/Alabama(out)/Utah/OU or Baylor
Assume all of the games are close so no one gets eliminated because of a blowout.
I honestly have no idea who would be in after Clemson and Georgia.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 10:21 pm to SLafourche07
Exactly. And, that’s not even a stretch example.
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