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Week 12 CFB Betting Thread: #freemoney

Posted on 11/12/18 at 10:59 pm
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 10:59 pm
I hope this hasn't already been started. I did a search for "cfb bet" and nothing came up, so I figured I would roll it on.

Here are the lines and odds: LINK

I had been struggling for a few weeks and had dropped into the red with my guy...but then i came storming back last week with a wonderfully picturesque marked-up legal pad page. Many many "W"'s; just a couple straggler "L"'s. And now I'm back in the black (just barely, but it beats the alternative.

Why stop there? I see no compelling reason to leave free money just sitting there on the table unaccounted for.

And on that note, we start the week off on a Tuesday evening with some #maction, only to be followed by Wednesday and Thursday #maction as well.

My first play of the week will be on Buffalo. They are currently +2, but I'm gonna take them on the ML and avoid the juice. But unfortunately they still haven't posted an ML. But assuming that Buffalo stays on the underdog side, my first bet of the week will be:

Buffalo at ML

I've only gone through the entire slate to set lines myself for all of the games before I see the real ones (this is something I swear by), and then just a cursory skim-through the week 12 catalog, so these are just "leans" at this point, but these caught my eye:

Favs:
UCF-7.5
TAMU-16.5
Nevada-14.5
Wash St-10
Sparty-2
Arkansas St-7.5
Akron-7.5
NC State-14.5

Doggies:
USF+13.5
Cuse+9
Arkansas+20.5
Ole Miss+2.5
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158764 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:10 pm to
Man what an awful slate of games, a true degenerates weekend.

Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

awful slate of games



I have know idea what this means. There is no such thing as an awful slate of games. There is only opportunity.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33746 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:23 pm to
i wanted to share last week with my take on Pitt-Va Tech.

those are 2 teams heading in the opposite direction.

no such thing as an awful slate of games.

especially in CFB.

Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158764 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:31 pm to
quote:


no such thing as an awful slate of games.

especially in CFB



Disagree...CFB is not a very good product this season.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33746 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:58 pm to
quote:

Disagree...CFB is not a very good product this season.


i hear you.

and that's easy for me to say in hindsight.

Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
27759 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 7:13 am to
I really like A&M over UAB

Everyone is talking up UAB for playing a shite schedule and barbell beating bad teams

They go to College Station cocky thinking they have a shot.

A&M is gonna roll. 38-13
Posted by NWLA Tiguh12
Member since Jul 2015
2402 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 10:12 am to
Bet it all on Rice +44
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76679 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 10:51 am to
And I really like UAB with the points.

Aggy will be looking ahead to their Super Bowl, and UAB's defense will keep it ugly and low scoring.

Liberty is also delicious with all those points. A weaker than usual Auburn in a look ahead/sandwich spot against a team that can come up with enough points.

SMU +9 and ML at home versus Memphis.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 11:11 pm to
quote:

And I really like UAB with the points.

Aggy will be looking ahead to their Super Bowl, and UAB's defense will keep it ugly and low scorin


I'm slightly torn here because UAB has been kind to me this year, but I lean TAMU.

The SEC has been just crushing mid majors this year. Arkansas v. Tulsa was one of my favorite plays of the season. What was that one, like Arky-6.5? Silliness. Yeah, they're a bad SEC team, but they still have SEC players.

Same rationale applies here imho.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 11:14 pm to
My guy only takes plays within two days of the game. First plays of the week:

Buffalo+2.5
Buffalo at +117



This post was edited on 11/13/18 at 11:25 pm
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/14/18 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

Buffalo+2.5
Buffalo at +117



Sometimes these things happen.
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7222 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 6:58 am to
What do y’all think of Houston -10 vs Tulane tonight? Ed Oliver is our for Houston but they should put up a lot of points. Tulane has played well lately though.
Posted by oliveandblue
Member since Nov 2014
1669 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 7:16 am to
Careful with UH -10. Houston has no starting DL available against a team that likes to run. Temple isn't a running team, and you saw what happened there...

I think OVER is a good bet there, though. Tulane has gone under the last 4, but doesn't have the LB speed to contain King.
Posted by TexasSinger
Front Row
Member since Feb 2006
4480 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 8:07 am to
Yep I’ve got Hou o68. For all the reasons you listed. Like the Mean Green under tonight as well. Might make a 3 play parlay tonight if I figure out this Tol/KentSt game.
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12576 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 10:12 am to
Going for a 6 game parlay tonite

Houston -9 W
Houston O67 L (65)
Toledo -13 W
Toledo O59 W
NT -4 L (3)
NT O63 W

25/1000

This post was edited on 11/16/18 at 2:47 pm
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33746 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Cuse+9


love this one.

I could even see the Orange maybe even pulling off the upset.
Posted by Chuckiee
Member since Jan 2007
2500 posts
Posted on 11/15/18 at 11:45 am to
Locked in:
Tulane +10
Minnesota +2
Virginia +6

Eyes on:
Kentucky -16
A&M -17
This post was edited on 11/15/18 at 4:59 pm
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33746 posts
Posted on 11/16/18 at 12:38 am to
quote:

A weaker than usual Auburn in a look ahead/sandwich spot


Alabama is going to win with ease.


this is a fake arse get right game for Auburn. no matter what they do the line next week means nothing for this game.

Auburn will destroy Liberty and then get plowed by Alabama.

slow ahead.. yeah i can slow ahead why dont ya come down here and chum some of this shite?

JAWS.

OKAY.. never mind. AU beats Liberty like 34-17

This post was edited on 11/16/18 at 12:49 am
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 11/16/18 at 7:45 pm to
Extremely heavy on the Memphis/SMU over 76 tonight
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