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Message
re: The 2020 College Football season will be played. It's March 30th
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:53 pm to rockiee
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:53 pm to rockiee
quote:.5% is where the experts are saying covid-19 is as well
To put more context on to this, from what I have read the mortality rate of those two flus listed above was somewhere between .1% - .5%
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:57 pm to lsupride87
quote:
.5% is where the experts are saying covid-19 is as well
Can you link that? I know it was estimated at 3.4 but that was a few weeks ago. The estimate from the start was it will be around 2%.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:57 pm to lsupride87
quote:
The asian flu of 1957
quote:
The hong kong flu of 1968
thats racist
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:05 pm to rockiee
quote:That will be actual case fatality rate. It will take this pandemic being over and them "estimating" how many people had it and werent texted etc etc to determine what they think was the actual mortality rate
Can you link that? I know it was estimated at 3.4 but that was a few weeks ago. The estimate from the start was it will be around 2%.
Right now that is completely up in the air (0.1%-2.4%), But if you listen to Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx, they have it well under 1%
1-200k deaths, with several millions of cases....
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:12 pm to lsupride87
quote:
It will take this pandemic being over and them "estimating" how many people had it and werent texted etc etc to determine what they think was the actual mortality rate
Well sure, we will never truly know till its over and even then it will not be a sure thing
quote:
But if you listen to Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx, they have it well under 1%
Haven't seen this or heard this. I just saw were he did say the 100k-200k. Why I was asking for a link.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:15 pm to Emperor Burrow
The only way I see them being able to play:
-cancel all OOC games
-cancel all bowl games except the playoff
-make a 1 year exception for an 8 or 16 team playoff
-push back conference schedule into December & play all games in consecutive weeks leading up until playoff. No bye weeks
LSU’s schedule could look something like this.
Aug 24 (1st day of school) would start a condensed 5week conditioning program leading up to...
Oct 1st preseason practice
Oct 31 OM
Nov 7 FL
Nov 14 Ark
Nov 21 Miss St
Nov 28 Bama
Dec 5 SC
Dec 12 Aub
Dec 19 A&M
Dec 26th conf championship games
January 2nd Semi playoff
January 11th CFB champ
If you go to 8 or 16, you push these down into late January
-cancel all OOC games
-cancel all bowl games except the playoff
-make a 1 year exception for an 8 or 16 team playoff
-push back conference schedule into December & play all games in consecutive weeks leading up until playoff. No bye weeks
LSU’s schedule could look something like this.
Aug 24 (1st day of school) would start a condensed 5week conditioning program leading up to...
Oct 1st preseason practice
Oct 31 OM
Nov 7 FL
Nov 14 Ark
Nov 21 Miss St
Nov 28 Bama
Dec 5 SC
Dec 12 Aub
Dec 19 A&M
Dec 26th conf championship games
January 2nd Semi playoff
January 11th CFB champ
If you go to 8 or 16, you push these down into late January
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:35 pm to lsupride87
quote:
The asian flu of 1957 killed 70k americans, equivalent to 120k today
The hong kong flu of 1968 killed 100k americans, equivalent to 160k today
Those are within the upper worst case range of this pandemic, and we are shutting everything down
And the world was very different in 1957 and 68. We are way more globally connected. There was basically zero travel to China, the USSR or half of Europe. Jet travel officially started in the 50's, so was still in its infancy. It was far less common and way more expensive (relative to the time). The population was also smaller and less densely packed. One thing we did have like today was a vaccine for the flu which doesn't exist for COVID-19.
There may be a better way to contain this virus, like testing everyone, than shutting down the world, which is not sustainable but it appears to more contagious and deadly than the typical "flu".
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:37 pm to H-Town Tiger
quote:
And the world was very different in 1957 and 68. There was basically zero travel to China, the USSR or half of Europe. Jet travel officially started in 1the 50's, so was still in its infancy. It was far less common and way more expensive (relative to the time). The population was also smaller and less densely packed. One thing we did have like today was a vaccine for the flu which doesn't exist for COVID-19.
Great points as well
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:49 pm to H-Town Tiger
quote:
One thing we did have like today was a vaccine for the flu which doesn't exist for COVID-19.
i got the 1957.
a doozy.
quote:
The 1957 flu pandemic was caused by influenza H2N2 virus, to which few people had previous exposure. A vaccine was rapidly developed against H2N2, though later assessment showed that more vaccine than usual was needed to produce immunity.
bolded part suggests that even if you had shot you got it anyway.
none of us got the shot.
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 2:23 pm
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:00 pm to CelticDog
I think that illustrates another important point, which is how much more advanced medical technology is now than in 1957. A nasty strain like that today, probably would not have be as deadly was it was in 1957. I get people are frustrated (im super depressed about the NCAA tournament, i don't even want to think about no football) but this really isn't comparable to past outbreaks for a lot of reasons. Looking at the overall numbers isn't usefully.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:09 pm to Emperor Burrow
It’s about April 1st now and we can’t leave our house. You think In 5 months we’ll be able to sit in a 80k seat stadium on top of each other
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:25 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
LSU’s schedule could look something like this.
Aug 24 (1st day of school) would start a condensed 5week conditioning program leading up to...
Oct 1st preseason practice
Oct 31 OM
Nov 7 FL
Nov 14 Ark
Nov 21 Miss St
Nov 28 Bama
Dec 5 SC
Dec 12 Aub
Dec 19 A&M
Dec 26th conf championship games
January 2nd Semi playoff
January 11th CFB champ
If you go to 8 or 16, you push these down into late January
great. go to 8.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:32 pm to Emperor Burrow
everyday that goes by the less and less we kick.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:38 pm to CBandits82
If this thing cancels College Football, there needs to be a giant hole in the earth where China used to be
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:40 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
You have to have time to practice....
Posted on 3/30/20 at 2:45 pm to Emperor Burrow
quote:
There is no way this virus is still a big deal 5 months away.
Anytime some jackass says there is no way something will happen.. Yall know what happens..
quote:
Has there ever been a virus to cripple our society for over half a year?
What does this have to do with anything? Just because it hasn't happened doesn't mean it can't happen. When something happened in the past, at some point it had to be the first time it happened. So what's your point?
Posted on 3/30/20 at 3:06 pm to TulaneFan
quote:
If this thing cancels College Football, there needs to be a giant hole in the earth where China used to be
College Football going down is when the rioting begins.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 3:28 pm to Emperor Burrow
Yeah if we are still shut down by then we are in for a world of hurting. It will happen
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:51 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Oct 31 OM
Nov 7 FL
Nov 14 Ark
Nov 21 Miss St
Nov 28 Bama
Dec 5 SC
Dec 12 Aub
Dec 19 A&M
Dec 26th conf championship games
January 2nd Semi playoff
January 11th CFB champ
Major conflict with hunting season baw
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