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re: The 125th US Open - JJ Spaun (-1) is the champion

Posted on 6/10/25 at 11:55 am to
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
16104 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Betting on a guy who hasn't won in two years and expecting it to happen in a major is wild

You dont bet on someone +2500 because you expect it to happen. You do it because you think it might happen

Do you think when people bet multiple players they expect them all to win
This post was edited on 6/10/25 at 11:59 am
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

a guy who hasn't won in two years and expecting it to happen in a major is wild

Even better because this exact scenario happened when Xander won the PGA last year. He had 4th best odds at +1200

Morikawa has 6th best odds at +2500… *wild*
This post was edited on 6/10/25 at 12:07 pm
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32461 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:32 pm to
Morikwara has like the 6th best odds to win. Yes you expect him to win at those odds. Are you a beginner at golf betting. Jesus Christ
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35895 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:37 pm to
Kind of a combination of yours and the other suggestions. LFG

Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32461 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Even better because this exact scenario happened when Xander won the PGA last year. He had 4th best odds at +1200

Once again, Xander was 2nd the weke before in an elevated event. Morikwara isn't even close to that.

The last three US Open champions were 10th, 11th and 10th ranked golfers in the world according to DataGolf. Sepp Straka is 10th in 2025
Posted by Muahahaha
Ohio
Member since Nov 2005
6860 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Kind of a combination of yours and the other suggestions. LFG


Best of luck! Those look like solid picks. The U.S. Open and The Open often bring unexpected names to the top of the leaderboard.
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
16104 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

The last three US Open champions were 10th, 11th and 10th ranked golfers in the world according to DataGolf. Sepp Straka is 10th in 2025

Morikawa is 8th
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Sepp Straka is 10th in 2025


What a weird correlation. Are you betting on a guy to win who has MC in his last two majors?
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35895 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Are you betting on a guy to win who has MC in his last two majors?



I'm betting on the guys from each of 6 tiers I think will do best relative to par for the tournament. Because I pick 6 players it's obviously impossible for all of them to win.
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
40826 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 1:06 pm to
I like both of those. Hope you win you some money.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
35895 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 1:34 pm to
Thanks. Will report back if I do.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 2:15 pm to
Wasn’t responding to your picks
Posted by TheWalrus
Land of the Hogs
Member since Dec 2012
46136 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 2:37 pm to
Rory to miss the cut seems like a good bet considering he just played like absolute shite on a much easier course.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
108690 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

Rory to miss the cut seems like a good bet considering he just played like absolute shite on a much easier course.
Rory in majors after missing cut the tournament before

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Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 2:55 pm to
So a 20% chance? What are his odds to MC?

ETA: he did miss the cut here in 2016
This post was edited on 6/10/25 at 2:57 pm
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32461 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 3:17 pm to
So he doesn't fit the bill once again. And Nieman is Top-5. Ls on Ls for this group of bozos
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32461 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

What a weird correlation. Are you betting on a guy to win who has MC in his last two majors?

Well he's got the 2nd most wins this season so it would be stupid to overlook him. But his major this year is in Ireland. I've said this repeatedly in the other Major threads
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

Ls on Ls for this group of bozos


Is Murray State playing on Friday you stupid frick?
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
41596 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Rory to miss the cut seems like a good bet considering he just played like absolute shite on a much easier course.


And he shot an 81 in a practice round.

I don’t think he’ll contend, but i think he’ll make the cut
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16426 posts
Posted on 6/10/25 at 4:02 pm to
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