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re: Tennis 2019 -- The Unofficial Non-GS Thread

Posted on 2/14/19 at 8:04 pm to
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/14/19 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Have you ever skied or snowboarded before?

Nope

quote:

Snowboarding is a miserable miserable experience the first day. arse, neck, head, wrists....all will hurt by the end of the day

Hell Nope

quote:

Here's the run in question:


Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/14/19 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

That one is on my list

I only brought it up because the drive from here is about 3.5 hours. I'm assuming if it's on your list it must be a decent spot. Is it better for beginners to go elsewhere, or does it not matter?

My sister and I might spend a night there after our Indian Wells trip. I haven't done any ski research.
This post was edited on 2/14/19 at 8:17 pm
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/14/19 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

New York getting good

Most of the Americans are playing like arse.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69347 posts
Posted on 2/15/19 at 7:48 pm to
Isner/Opelka and Schnur/Querrey are your Long Island semis.

Thiem rallied on Cuevas in Buenos Aires. Schwartz and Ramos-Vinolas up now. The other half will have Cecchinato and Pella in the semis. What have I done with my life that I'm watching this?
This post was edited on 2/15/19 at 8:00 pm
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/15/19 at 8:22 pm to
Since there’s literally nothing else happening, you get a pass.

Can we fast forward to the RG semis where Rafa steamrolls Zverev and Novak plays an epic 5-setter with Thiem?
Posted by little billy
Orange County, CA
Member since May 2015
8469 posts
Posted on 2/15/19 at 8:25 pm to
I've watched a bunch of 250 level tournaments on tennis channel. it's still tennis
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69347 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 8:43 pm to
Schwartzman and Thiem was good stuff today. Opelka and Isner just finished and it was exactly what you would expect. Monifils and Stan tomorrow should be entertaining.
This post was edited on 2/16/19 at 8:44 pm
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/17/19 at 7:41 pm to
Legend



I like the court surface.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69347 posts
Posted on 2/17/19 at 7:48 pm to
Big ups to Mofees for rallying after getting pummelled in the second by Stan. I caught the end and it looked like great stuff. Funny that some were dogging Gael in the physical talent/no killer instinct thread and he won a 500 today. I don't even think Nick is that guy. Great shotmaking, but he doesn't move well enough (or maybe just doesn't have the endurance to hang for two weeks of 3 out 5 anywhere other than Wimbledon). Grigs is the guy for me. Has every shot, moves well, is fit. Just can't put it together. I think he's soft or stupid.

Not sure about that Long Island court. I like the Paris Masters contrast. Too much blue on blue everywhere else. Long Island is OK for a while, but I get depressed watching that black court for a significant amount of time.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/17/19 at 8:19 pm to
First thought when I saw that thread was Kyrgios but it was already posted. I’ll try to do a comparison of him and Grigor later.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 2/17/19 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

I'm assuming if it's on your list it must be a decent spot.


I actually was confusing it with Big Sky...but after looking at it, it looks like a decent spot. Not massively huge, but pretty good elevation, so the terrain is probably dependably good.

quote:

Is it better for beginners to go elsewhere, or does it not matter?


Any place will be fine for beginners. Even the resorts that are known for their degree of difficulty will have more than enough beginner terrain.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/18/19 at 12:17 am to
quote:

I’ll try to do a comparison of him and Grigor

Had a whole bunch of shite in my head, but it kept leading to other thoughts and questions. Natural talent on its own is a topic where I feel like I don’t possess as much knowledge as I would like. I’ll have to re-visit this in the future.
This post was edited on 2/18/19 at 12:20 am
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 5:09 am to
Figured I would type this out before I got lazy and put it off for good. There’s no central theme or point to what I’m about to write. It’s a mess of thoughts with no real direction.

I’ll start with analyzing the question as it’s written.

“Athletes with the physical talent to be elite that lacked killer instinct”

First things first, what exactly is physical talent? Well, in major American sports this usually refers to things like size, speed, strength, jumping ability, etc.

Right off the bat we have a problem. In the history of tennis, there’s very little connection between those traits and the super elite players. In fact, it’s almost detrimental to be too tall, too big, or too strong. Speed is of course important, but almost every non-servebot in the sport moves well.

In a way, it’s akin to asking which chess players had the physical talent to be elite but lacked killer instinct. Makes no sense. And when the question doesn’t make sense, it’s kind of tough to answer it correctly.

On top of that, what exactly is killer instinct? We know that Rafa, Novak, and Roger have it to some extent, although they show it in different ways. We can assume that someone like Zverev doesn’t have it, but do we know for sure?

To put it another way, let’s hypothetically say that Zverev has all of the physical tools AND a killer instinct, yet still can’t win grand slams. Then what? Well, then we can try to pinpoint what else is missing. But, my point is that the original question can be sort of pointless.

To take this in another direction, how do we begin to establish what is physical talent in regard to tennis? Is it as simple as shotmaking? Our instincts tell us that certain players are more talented than others, but how often is this the truth?

For example... Kyrgios has more serving talent than Raonic. Is this a fact? Why do we think this? Because it just looks more effortless? Because Kyrgios is a known slacker and the fact that he can serve at a level on par with Milos automatically means that he has put in less work and was born with more serving potential?

Here’s another way of asking the same question. From birth, if I dedicated the same number of hours to tennis as Roger Federer, would I be on his level? We would also have to assume that I had the same coaching, had access to all the same tournaments, played a similar level of opponents, etc. Honestly, I don’t know the answer.

It’s not about me, either. I’m only using myself in the example because I’m 1 inch shorter, 1 year older, and about the same size as Federer, so it makes for a decent comparison.

People have a tendency to think the top players were just born to play tennis. But that’s sort of a disservice to the fact that they have dedicated their entire life to the sport, and that’s a huge part of what separates them from the rest of the pack.

You can go in so many directions with this topic, but I’ll have to stop for now.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9936 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 11:22 am to
Bump for Delray Beach

Nice to see a top 100 matchup between Mcdonald and Fritz, into the 3rd right now.

Tennys and Opelka this afternoon.


eta: Wow, Fritz is all the way up to #42.
This post was edited on 2/19/19 at 11:25 am
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9936 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Here’s another way of asking the same question. From birth, if I dedicated the same number of hours to tennis as Roger Federer, would I be on his level? We would also have to assume that I had the same coaching, had access to all the same tournaments, played a similar level of opponents, etc. Honestly, I don’t know the answer.



One consideration is that every "great" had to stay healthy along the way. How many kids had the same talent/time that Fed did, but had setbacks that never let them reach the same potential.

While talent is certainly an interesting topic, I still think that time is the greater factor. I suppose you could say that talent could be success/practice time. Can kid A that has hit half the tennis balls as kid B get the win? Then I'd say that they were born with more talent. But I would guess that rarely happens after a certain level.


A couple of years ago I was trying to make a push with my golf game. Finally I thought about how when I was making my largest strides with my tennis game in high school I was putting in 15-20 hours a week (during the school year), but somehow I got the idea that I was supposed to get better at golf because I was going to the range for 30 minutes a week. Ha.

Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

First things first, what exactly is physical talent? Well, in major American sports this usually refers to things like size, speed, strength, jumping ability, etc.



I break physical talent (or athleticism) down into two simple components: hands and feet. The hands part is your hand-eye coordination. In tennis, this manifests as shotmaking skill. The feet is your speed and agility. How quickly and easily can you get from point A to point B (and, yes, point B could be 10 feet off the ground).

I like this oversimplified model.

I think this oversimplified model actually nicely illustrates how crucial the feet portion is to become an elite player. What do Borg, Sampras, Laver, Fed, Rafa, and Novak have in common? Wheels. Mad focking wheels. I think that is why gets a player over the top.

So, on the one hand, Kyrgios isn't maybe as talented as he is given credit for because his talent lies 90% in the hands part. Now, I'm not saying he moves like John Isner -- I mean, he gets around okay -- but he isn't bouncing around the court like a damn tiger like Sampras in his prime.

Monfils has the feet portion. He is good in the hands category, but is he elite? I'm not so sure.

I'm gonna disagree with Bunk on the Grigs nomination. Grigs does everything nicely, but is his shotmaking elite? His movement is certainly very adequate, but is he moving such a ferocity a la a young Rafa that you're actually concerned that he might tear all his goddamn knee joints mid-point? I would stop short on that.

Reasonable minds could disagree on the Grigs question, but I would say he has neither under nor over achieved. I think he's achieved about what his god-given talen would dictate.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Tennys and Opelka this afternoon.


Up with the Volunteer State.
Down with servebots.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

While talent is certainly an interesting topic, I still think that time is the greater factor. I suppose you could say that talent could be success/practice time. Can kid A that has hit half the tennis balls as kid B get the win? Then I'd say that they were born with more talent. But I would guess that rarely happens after a certain level.



So, my brother is good friends -- and, by extension, I am regular friends -- with this guy in Richmond whose kid was a tennis prodigy. I've mentioned him on here a few times before. He was #1 in the country in the 14s.

Anyway, going back to like when he was 9 or 10 and my brother wouldn't stop talking about this kid, I would repeatedly ask: how good of an athlete is he? Of course, I was referring to the feet portion. Obviously the kid is a crazy shotmaker, and this was demonstrated quite young. But is he an elite athlete. My contention then, and still now, is that this is the thing that will have this kid either playing pro tennis, or "merely" getting a scholarship to play at a top school.

It turns out that he has started to regress a bit in the rankings as he's gotten up into the 16s. I'm not trying to be the guy who said I told you so -- and i wish the kid all the luck in the world (I beat him in a set when he was like 10 or 11) -- but i'm not completely surprised that he's regressed a bit given that he was always a good athlete, but my brother was never raving about how fast the kid was.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

For example... Kyrgios has more serving talent than Raonic. Is this a fact? Why do we think this?



INteresting point. I suppose one would have to begrudgingly give Raonic the benefit of the doubt on being a natural server. One can't simply practice their way to a serve like that by being "professional".

Take it from me, a guy who played god knows how many hours of tennis growing up, and to this day can do little more than just start the point without being on the defensive.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69347 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 1:06 pm to
Enough money and repetitions can make anyone a good junior or low level college player. I think talent (and mentality) separate you after that, especially at the top level of pros.

I wonder how many dudes just aren't good with strategy. I think is where Murray made his bones. He was a bit of a pusher, but a really good tactician.

I probably overrate Grigs since his shots look aesthetically pleasing. On the other hand, I have been careful not to fawn over Nick, though it is difficult not to do when you see him bully around someone like Rafa.

Alex is a freakazoid if you see him in person. A big guy should not move like that. But, my bro did make a good point that he really does not have much shot variety, whereas Rafa can break off all kinds of crazy angles and offspeed pitches, if needed.
This post was edited on 2/19/19 at 1:10 pm
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