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Sports betting 1/10

Posted on 1/10/23 at 6:28 am
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77358 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 6:28 am
Nebraksa/illini o136.5
Auburn/ole miss o132.5
Toledo/kent st u154.5
Msu -1.5
Georgetown +9.5
Oklahoma/kansas o132.5
Illini -3.5
Toledo +4.5
Depaul/villanova u141
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 3:12 pm
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5411 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 8:22 am to
I like the idea of LSU - uva - auburn ML parlay.

Who screws me over? LSU?
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33004 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 8:36 am to
Probably lsu.

I love auburn tonight.
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5411 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 8:36 am to
I might just do auburn and uva together. I like auburn too, I think they should beat the pants off the rebels tonight
Posted by Magnus
San Diego
Member since Sep 2019
1288 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 9:36 am to
which ever team you think is a 100% lock will screw you
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158756 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 9:47 am to




quote:

Small Model Change

I am raising my highlight threshold for Totals by 1% from 53% win prob to 54% win prob. By making that simple change the W/L of highlighted totals goes from 15-14 to 9-5. I will track


-

quote:

Plays:

??Ball St. +1.5 (-110) 1.1U

Another undefeated home team in Ohio (like yesterday) that is playing a team who is technically better than them and is on a short line. Ball St is the more effective 3 point shooting team Regression is imminent once again.

??Illinois -3.5 (-110) 1.1U

-

These are #1 & #2 in my Blowout Probability metric that I am still working on. Today, Ball St is at 6.8% & Illinois is at 6.%. As I sort of explained yesterday, the blowout metric is mostly used to find which teams have the highest probability to over perform in a specific matchup and "blowout" the spread. The top Blowout Prob play yesterday was NC Central which covered for us. Hopefully we can string along some good days.
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 9:53 am
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33004 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 9:52 am to
looks like everyone is on lsu tonight.
if i bet it, i will probably go with florida
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158756 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 9:53 am to


edit post function was being weird, better image of the sheet here
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 9:54 am
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33004 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 9:58 am to
thanks i was zoomed in like a mf trying to see it
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25486 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 10:04 am to
i think if you're going to post your bets everyday Joshua, you should also let us know how you've been doing so we can decide if we should care or not about your selections.

It's also fun to ride someone elses wave, whether they are making the right picks or all the wrong picks.
Posted by Magnus
San Diego
Member since Sep 2019
1288 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 10:09 am to
lsu florida was a pick 'em, now LSU is +100 on Ceasers
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65494 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 10:35 am to
cen mich
ball st
belmont
Posted by titmouse
a tree branch above your car
Member since May 2006
6355 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 11:17 am to
Michigan State ML
Ole Miss +2.5
Cavs/Jazz o227
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65494 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 11:19 am to
Where do you get that from?

It’s an interesting chart
Posted by saspier
Member since Nov 2009
262 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 11:31 am to
Auburn -3
Ole Miss TT U66
Vandy TT U58
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77358 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 11:58 am to
quote:

i think if you're going to post your bets everyday Joshua, you should also let us know how you've been doing so we can decide if we should care or not about your selections.

It's also fun to ride someone elses wave, whether they are making the right picks or all the wrong picks.


All my picks are tracked in the action app
User is jbabi336. It posts how you do in each sport, how you have done overall, within the last 30 days, last week, and last day.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77358 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 11:59 am to
My method actually says to bet florida, i just cant bring myself to do it
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158756 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 12:02 pm to
LINKsome guy named Ducky that has a patreon, I used his models in the summer for dinger tuesday and NRFI bets. First time using them for CBB.
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 12:12 pm
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25486 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 12:05 pm to
Well that’s cool.
What is the action app?
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77358 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 12:17 pm to
A place to get information, opinions, articles about different betting opportunities across lots of mainstream sports. And it has the ability to track your bets if you are diligent enough to put them in. They are working on automatic syncing, but that ability is still tough to get going apparently. Id recommend any bettor check out their app. They have alot of experts across different sports that post their bets and share opinions
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 12:18 pm
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